MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over PEGA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PEGA

Pegasystems Inc.

58
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PEGA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PEGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

PEGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

PEGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE218x436x653x871x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE218x436x653x871x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$32.04—
Cheap26x$30.01-6.3%
Current28x$32.04—
Fair46x$53.25+66%
Expensive75x$86.65+170%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PEGA has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

MU has the edge over PEGA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PEGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PEGA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PEGA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PEGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$41.92
Downside-23%$24.83

Calculated from the latest close: $32.04 on Nov 12.

PEGA trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over PEGA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.31Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $2.34
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.31Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $2.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.34+103%
Q3 2026$1.15-25%
Q2 2026$1.31+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.40+30%
Q4 2025$1.67+198%
Q3 2025$1.54+123%
Q2 2025$1.22+67%
Q1 2025$1.08+157%
Q4 2024$0.56+56%

PEGA earned $1.15 per share over the past year, down 25% from the year before.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over PEGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $491MQ1 2025: $476MQ2 2025: $385MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $504MQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $421MQ3 2026: $393M
Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $491MQ1 2025: $476MQ2 2025: $385MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $504MQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $421MQ3 2026: $393M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$393.4M+3.1%
Q2 2026$420.7M+9.4%
Q1 2026$430M-9.6%
Q4 2025$504.3M+2.7%
Q3 2025$381.4M+17%
Q2 2025$384.5M+9.5%
Q1 2025$475.6M+44%
Q4 2024$490.8M+3.5%

PEGA's revenue has held roughly level: $393M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over PEGA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M-97%
Q2 2026$81.7M-2.9%
Q1 2026$206.5M+2.1%
Q4 2025$152.4M+65%
Q3 2025$51.8M+89%
Q2 2025$84.1M+117%
Q1 2025$202.3M+13%
Q4 2024$92.4M+19%

PEGA generated $442M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.7% from the year before.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

PEGA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 177MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 179MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 172MQ3 2026: 169M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 177MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 179MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 172MQ3 2026: 169M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-3.1M shares
1 year-8.4%-15.5M shares
3 years+1.2%+2M shares
5 years+3.4%+5.6M shares
Available history+6.7%+10.5M shares

PEGA has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

PEGA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20240.9xVery low

PEGA has the edge over MU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PEGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic32.6Neutral

PEGA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over PEGA on valuation relative to its sector.

PEGA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPEGASector medianRelative
PE28x28xSame PE
PE %223513 pts below

PEGA is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over PEGA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PEGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.16% below
20 week MA$33.44.1% below
50 week MA$39.719% below
100 week MA$44.728% below
200 week MA$36.512% below

PEGA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over PEGA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PEGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.7$69.3+75%
2021$69.3$55.2-20%
2022$55.2$17.1-69%
2023$17.1$24.4+43%
2024$24.4$47.2+93%
2025$47.2$62.4+32%
2026 YTD$62.4$32.0-49%

PEGA is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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