MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc.
MTN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over MTN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
MTN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
MTN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MTN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $87.81 | -42% |
| Forward | 27x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $128 | -16% |
| Current | 37x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 79x | $325 | +115% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTN has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MTN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MTN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.63 | +37% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.12 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.52 | -42% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.25 | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.94 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.53 | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.86 | +4.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.86 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.06 | +9.4% |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
MTN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $278.1M | +2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $271M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $271.3M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $260.3M | +0.7% |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -75% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -75% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -78% | +2.5 points |
MTN's operating margin was −75% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA has the edge over MTN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MTN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$153M | +$74.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.2M | -133% |
| Q1 2026 | $185M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $244.3M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$227.5M | -$77.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $84.5M | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $251.2M | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -23% |
MTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$153M, but it generated $248M over the past year.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
MTN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +106K shares |
| 1 year | -3.8% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -5M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -4.5M shares |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $45M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $30M |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
MTN spent $45M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 83% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
MTN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MTN's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over MTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.5 | Neutral |
MTN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
MTN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MTN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 104% above |
| PE % | 69 | 47 | 22 pts above |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MTN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $147.8 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $146.2 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $139.7 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $148.0 | 2.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $181.3 | 17% below |
MTN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 17% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over MTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MTN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $242.3 | $275.2 | +14% |
| 2021 | $275.2 | $332.2 | +21% |
| 2022 | $332.2 | $241.1 | -27% |
| 2023 | $241.1 | $213.5 | -11% |
| 2024 | $213.5 | $190.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $190.5 | $140.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $140.3 | $151.2 | +7.8% |
MTN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.