MTN

Vail Resorts, Inc.

45
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

MTN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over MTN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MTN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$87.81-42%
Forward27x$151—
Fair31x$128-16%
Current37x$151—
Expensive79x$325+115%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTN's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MTN, with profitability improving.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$173.47
Downside-31%$103.96

Calculated from the latest close: $151.17 on Nov 12.

MTN trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.54Q1 2024: $6.14Q2 2024: $7.50Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.06Q1 2025: $6.86Q2 2025: $7.86Q3 2025: $7.53Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.52Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $5.63
Q4 2023: $5.54Q1 2024: $6.14Q2 2024: $7.50Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.06Q1 2025: $6.86Q2 2025: $7.86Q3 2025: $7.53Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.52Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $5.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.63+37%
Q3 2026$4.12-45%
Q2 2026$4.52-42%
Q1 2026$6.25-8.9%
Q4 2025$6.94+15%
Q3 2025$7.53+24%
Q2 2025$7.86+4.8%
Q1 2025$6.86+12%
Q4 2024$6.06+9.4%

MTN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

MTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $265MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $265MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$278.1M+2.5%
Q2 2026$1.2B-7%
Q1 2026$1.1B-4.7%
Q4 2025$271M+4.1%
Q3 2025$271.3M+2.2%
Q2 2025$1.3B+1%
Q1 2025$1.1B+5.5%
Q4 2024$260.3M+0.7%

MTN's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $278M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over MTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: −$150MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: −$228MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$153M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: −$150MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: −$228MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$153M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$153M+$74.5M
Q2 2026-$28.2M-133%
Q1 2026$185M-26%
Q4 2025$244.3M+16%
Q3 2025-$227.5M-$77.2M
Q2 2025$84.5M-0.6%
Q1 2025$251.2M+52%
Q4 2024$211.4M-23%

MTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$153M, but it generated $248M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over MTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+106K shares
1 year-3.8%-1.4M shares
3 years-10%-4M shares
5 years-12%-5M shares
Available history-11%-4.5M shares

MTN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

MTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20243.0xElevated

MTN's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.3Neutral
Stochastic73.5Neutral

MTN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MTN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMTNSector medianRelative
PE37x18x104% above
PE %694722 pts above

MTN is trading at 37x earnings, a 104% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.82.3% above
20 week MA$146.23.4% above
50 week MA$139.78.2% above
100 week MA$148.02.2% above
200 week MA$181.317% below

MTN has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

MTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$242.3$275.2+14%
2021$275.2$332.2+21%
2022$332.2$241.1-27%
2023$241.1$213.5-11%
2024$213.5$190.5-11%
2025$190.5$140.3-26%
2026 YTD$140.3$151.2+7.8%

MTN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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