MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
MTH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over MTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Under pressure |
MTH's profitability is currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MTH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.8x | $21.55 | -67% |
| Fair | 7.7x | $34.14 | -47% |
| Expensive | 11x | $46.91 | -28% |
| Current | 15x | $64.80 | — |
| Forward | 16x | $64.80 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTH's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 16x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MTH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over MTH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.93 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.46 | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.81 | -45% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.48 | -45% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.35 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.49 | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.77 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.88 | -7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.72 | +7.6% |
MTH has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
MTH Quarterly Revenue
MTH and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 23% | N/A |
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$35.3M | +$69M |
| Q2 2026 | $183.9M | +2552% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +$145.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $238.1M | +$345.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$104.3M | -$4.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.9M | +$131.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$48.2M | -164% |
| Q4 2024 | -$107M | +$4.4M |
MTH has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
MTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.5% | -6.1M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -11.3M shares |
| Available history | -16% | -12.7M shares |
MTH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $130M |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $55M |
| Q2 2025 | $45M |
| Q1 2025 | $45M |
| Q4 2024 | $40M |
MTH spent $435M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 135% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MTH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
MTH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.3 | Neutral |
MTH's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MTH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 19% below |
| PE % | 98 | 47 | 51 pts above |
MTH is trading at 15x earnings, a 19% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.4 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $69.1 | 6.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $70.4 | 7.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $73.4 | 12% below |
MTH has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
MTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.7 | $44.2 | +44% |
| 2021 | $44.2 | $58.5 | +32% |
| 2022 | $58.5 | $46.1 | -21% |
| 2023 | $46.1 | $87.1 | +89% |
| 2024 | $87.1 | $77.1 | -12% |
| 2025 | $77.1 | $66.8 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.8 | $64.8 | -3% |
MTH has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.