MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

70
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MTCH has the edge over VZ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MTCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

MTCH's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MTCH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$41.78—
Cheap15x$43.32+3.7%
Forward15x$41.78—
Fair31x$90.41+116%
Expensive151x$445+966%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTCH has the edge over VZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MTCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTCH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

VZ has the edge over MTCH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

MTCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$51.63
Downside-16%$35.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.78 on Nov 12.

MTCH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails MTCH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MTCH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86-2.6%
Q3 2026$2.94+37%
Q2 2026$2.83+39%
Q1 2026$2.62+30%
Q4 2025$2.38+18%
Q3 2025$2.14-3.6%
Q2 2025$2.03-11%
Q1 2025$2.02-11%
Q4 2024$2.02-11%

MTCH earned $2.94 per share over the past year, up 37% from the year before.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over MTCH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MTCH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$891.2M-2.5%
Q2 2026$853.1M-1.2%
Q1 2026$863.9M+3.9%
Q4 2025$878M+2.1%
Q3 2025$914.3M+2.1%
Q2 2025$863.7M0%
Q1 2025$831.2M-3.3%
Q4 2024$860.2M-0.7%

MTCH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $891M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ has the edge over MTCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTCH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$305.2M-0.5%
Q2 2026$352.5M+53%
Q1 2026$174M-2.1%
Q4 2025$308.1M+25%
Q3 2025$306.8M+22%
Q2 2025$231M+99%
Q1 2025$177.7M-33%
Q4 2024$247.1M-4.5%

MTCH generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $39B over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.

MTCH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-5.8M shares
1 year-7.1%-18.4M shares
3 years-18%-51.4M shares
5 years-24%-75M shares
Available history-23%-73.4M shares

MTCH has the edge over VZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has 4.2B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.

MTCH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

MTCH has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

MTCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic43.4Neutral

MTCH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

MTCH PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMTCHSector medianRelative
PE14x16x14% below
PE %112615 pts below

MTCH is trading at 14x earnings, a 14% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ has the edge over MTCH on valuation relative to its sector.

MTCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.60.4% above
20 week MA$40.63% above
50 week MA$36.215% above
100 week MA$34.521% above
200 week MA$35.617% above

MTCH has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 17% above its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

MTCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.0$152.1+81%
2021$152.1$133.4-12%
2022$133.4$40.6-70%
2023$40.6$36.5-10%
2024$36.5$33.2-9.1%
2025$33.2$32.5-1.9%
2026 YTD$32.5$41.8+28%

MTCH has the edge over VZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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