MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

70
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MTCH's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 14x earnings, less than half its usual 32x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MTCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

MTCH's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

MTCH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$41.78—
Cheap15x$43.32+3.7%
Forward15x$41.78—
Fair31x$90.41+116%
Expensive151x$445+966%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTCH's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

MTCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTCH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MTCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$51.63
Downside-16%$35.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.78 on Nov 12.

MTCH's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −16%.

MTCH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86-2.6%
Q3 2026$2.94+37%
Q2 2026$2.83+39%
Q1 2026$2.62+30%
Q4 2025$2.38+18%
Q3 2025$2.14-3.6%
Q2 2025$2.03-11%
Q1 2025$2.02-11%
Q4 2024$2.02-11%

MTCH earned $2.94 per share over the past year, up 37% from the year before.

MTCH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$891.2M-2.5%
Q2 2026$853.1M-1.2%
Q1 2026$863.9M+3.9%
Q4 2025$878M+2.1%
Q3 2025$914.3M+2.1%
Q2 2025$863.7M0%
Q1 2025$831.2M-3.3%
Q4 2024$860.2M-0.7%

MTCH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $891M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTCH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$305.2M-0.5%
Q2 2026$352.5M+53%
Q1 2026$174M-2.1%
Q4 2025$308.1M+25%
Q3 2025$306.8M+22%
Q2 2025$231M+99%
Q1 2025$177.7M-33%
Q4 2024$247.1M-4.5%

MTCH generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

MTCH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-5.8M shares
1 year-7.1%-18.4M shares
3 years-18%-51.4M shares
5 years-24%-75M shares
Available history-23%-73.4M shares

MTCH has 242M diluted shares, down 7.1% from a year ago, with $574M in buybacks over the past year.

MTCH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

MTCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.

MTCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic43.4Neutral

MTCH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

MTCH PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMTCHSector medianRelative
PE14x16x14% below
PE %112615 pts below

MTCH is trading at 14x earnings, a 14% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

MTCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.60.4% above
20 week MA$40.63% above
50 week MA$36.215% above
100 week MA$34.521% above
200 week MA$35.617% above

MTCH has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 17% above its 200-week average.

MTCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.0$152.1+81%
2021$152.1$133.4-12%
2022$133.4$40.6-70%
2023$40.6$36.5-10%
2024$36.5$33.2-9.1%
2025$33.2$32.5-1.9%
2026 YTD$32.5$41.8+28%

MTCH has finished five years in a row lower, and it's up 28% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key