MTCH
Match Group, Inc.
MTCH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has a slight edge over MTCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MTCH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MTCH's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MTCH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 14x | $41.78 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $43.32 | +3.7% |
| Forward | 15x | $41.78 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $90.41 | +116% |
| Expensive | 151x | $445 | +966% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTCH's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over MTCH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MTCH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MTCH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over MTCH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
MTCH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.86 | -2.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.94 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.83 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.62 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.38 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.14 | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.03 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.02 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.02 | -11% |
MTCH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 37% for MTCH versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MTCH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $891.2M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $853.1M | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $863.9M | +3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $878M | +2.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $914.3M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $863.7M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $831.2M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.2M | -0.7% |
MTCH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $891M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +6.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +6.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -4.1 points |
MTCH has the edge over RDDT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over MTCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT's operating margin was 29% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
MTCH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $305.2M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $352.5M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $174M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $308.1M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.8M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $231M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $177.7M | -33% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.1M | -4.5% |
MTCH generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over MTCH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MTCH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -18.4M shares |
| 3 years | -18% | -51.4M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -75M shares |
| Available history | -23% | -73.4M shares |
MTCH has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $185.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $238.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $130.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $231M |
| Q1 2025 | $188.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $122.1M |
MTCH spent $574M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 15% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
MTCH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
MTCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over MTCH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTCH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.4 | Neutral |
MTCH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MTCH PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MTCH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 16x | 14% below |
| PE % | 11 | 26 | 15 pts below |
MTCH has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
MTCH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.6 | 0.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $40.6 | 3% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.2 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.5 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.6 | 17% above |
MTCH has stronger trend alignment. MTCH is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
MTCH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $84.0 | $152.1 | +81% |
| 2021 | $152.1 | $133.4 | -12% |
| 2022 | $133.4 | $40.6 | -70% |
| 2023 | $40.6 | $36.5 | -10% |
| 2024 | $36.5 | $33.2 | -9.1% |
| 2025 | $33.2 | $32.5 | -1.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $32.5 | $41.8 | +28% |
MTCH has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.