MTCH
Match Group, Inc.
MTCH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over MTCH overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
MTCH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MTCH's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MTCH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 14x | $41.78 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $43.32 | +3.7% |
| Forward | 15x | $41.78 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $90.41 | +116% |
| Expensive | 151x | $445 | +966% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTCH's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
MTCH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MTCH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MTCH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.86 | -2.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.94 | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.83 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.62 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.38 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.14 | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.03 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.02 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.02 | -11% |
MTCH earned $2.94 per share over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MTCH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $891.2M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $853.1M | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $863.9M | +3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $878M | +2.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $914.3M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $863.7M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $831.2M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.2M | -0.7% |
MTCH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $891M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +6.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +6.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -4.1 points |
MTCH's operating margin was 30% last quarter, up 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MTCH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $305.2M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $352.5M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $174M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $308.1M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.8M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $231M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $177.7M | -33% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.1M | -4.5% |
MTCH generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MTCH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -18.4M shares |
| 3 years | -18% | -51.4M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -75M shares |
| Available history | -23% | -73.4M shares |
MTCH has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $185.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $238.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $130.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $231M |
| Q1 2025 | $188.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $122.1M |
MTCH spent $574M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 15% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
MTCH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
MTCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over MTCH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTCH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.4 | Neutral |
MTCH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MTCH PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MTCH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 16x | 14% below |
| PE % | 11 | 26 | 15 pts below |
MTCH has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
MTCH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.6 | 0.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $40.6 | 3% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.2 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.5 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.6 | 17% above |
MTCH has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
MTCH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $84.0 | $152.1 | +81% |
| 2021 | $152.1 | $133.4 | -12% |
| 2022 | $133.4 | $40.6 | -70% |
| 2023 | $40.6 | $36.5 | -10% |
| 2024 | $36.5 | $33.2 | -9.1% |
| 2025 | $33.2 | $32.5 | -1.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $32.5 | $41.8 | +28% |
MTCH has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.