MSI

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

59
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MSI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$385-27%
Fair35x$434-18%
Expensive39x$482-9.1%
Current43x$530—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK has the edge over MSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNDK, with profitability improving.

MSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$588.68
Downside-18%$436.43

Calculated from the latest close: $530.40 on Nov 12.

MSI trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.42-0.4%
Q2 2026$12.69+2.1%
Q1 2026$12.40+3.4%
Q4 2025$12.75+38%
Q3 2025$12.47+37%
Q2 2025$12.43+46%
Q1 2025$11.99+48%
Q4 2024$9.23-7%

MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over MSI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+12%
Q3 2025$3B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+5.8%
Q4 2024$3B+5.7%

MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 378% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-20%
Q2 2026$414M+84%
Q1 2026$389M-18%
Q4 2025$1.1B+16%
Q3 2025$732M+4.3%
Q2 2025$225M+101%
Q1 2025$473M+41%
Q4 2024$984M-15%

MSI generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5% from the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over MSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4.3M shares
5 years-3.8%-6.7M shares
Available history-4.7%-8.2M shares

MSI has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

MSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over MSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic81.5Overbought

MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSISector medianRelative
PE43x28x53% above
PE %863551 pts above

MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over MSI on valuation relative to its sector.

MSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$478.711% above
20 week MA$461.815% above
50 week MA$434.822% above
100 week MA$434.622% above
200 week MA$387.337% above

MSI has stronger trend alignment. MSI is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

MSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$161.5$168.5+4.3%
2021$168.5$262.9+56%
2022$262.9$256.6-2.4%
2023$256.6$313.1+22%
2024$313.1$467.3+49%
2025$467.3$377.0-19%
2026 YTD$377.0$530.4+41%

MSI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over MSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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