MSI

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

59
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MSI's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 43x earnings, above its usual 35x.

MSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$385-27%
Fair35x$434-18%
Expensive39x$482-9.1%
Current43x$530—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x.

MSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.

MSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$588.68
Downside-18%$436.43

Calculated from the latest close: $530.40 on Nov 12.

MSI's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −18% against +11%.

MSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.42-0.4%
Q2 2026$12.69+2.1%
Q1 2026$12.40+3.4%
Q4 2025$12.75+38%
Q3 2025$12.47+37%
Q2 2025$12.43+46%
Q1 2025$11.99+48%
Q4 2024$9.23-7%

MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

MSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+12%
Q3 2025$3B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+5.8%
Q4 2024$3B+5.7%

MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-20%
Q2 2026$414M+84%
Q1 2026$389M-18%
Q4 2025$1.1B+16%
Q3 2025$732M+4.3%
Q2 2025$225M+101%
Q1 2025$473M+41%
Q4 2024$984M-15%

MSI generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5% from the year before.

MSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4.3M shares
5 years-3.8%-6.7M shares
Available history-4.7%-8.2M shares

MSI has 167M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $1B in buybacks over the past year.

MSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic81.5Overbought

MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

MSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSISector medianRelative
PE43x28x53% above
PE %863551 pts above

MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$478.711% above
20 week MA$461.815% above
50 week MA$434.822% above
100 week MA$434.622% above
200 week MA$387.337% above

MSI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% above its 200-week average.

MSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$161.5$168.5+4.3%
2021$168.5$262.9+56%
2022$262.9$256.6-2.4%
2023$256.6$313.1+22%
2024$313.1$467.3+49%
2025$467.3$377.0-19%
2026 YTD$377.0$530.4+41%

MSI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.

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