MSI

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

59
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MSI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$385-27%
Fair35x$434-18%
Expensive39x$482-9.1%
Current43x$530—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over MSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$588.68
Downside-18%$436.43

Calculated from the latest close: $530.40 on Nov 12.

MSI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.42-0.4%
Q2 2026$12.69+2.1%
Q1 2026$12.40+3.4%
Q4 2025$12.75+38%
Q3 2025$12.47+37%
Q2 2025$12.43+46%
Q1 2025$11.99+48%
Q4 2024$9.23-7%

MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+12%
Q3 2025$3B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+5.8%
Q4 2024$3B+5.7%

MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-20%
Q2 2026$414M+84%
Q1 2026$389M-18%
Q4 2025$1.1B+16%
Q3 2025$732M+4.3%
Q2 2025$225M+101%
Q1 2025$473M+41%
Q4 2024$984M-15%

MSI generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4.3M shares
5 years-3.8%-6.7M shares
Available history-4.7%-8.2M shares

MSI has 167M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $1B in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over MSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic81.5Overbought

MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSISector medianRelative
PE43x28x53% above
PE %863551 pts above

MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over MSI on valuation relative to its sector.

MSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$478.711% above
20 week MA$461.815% above
50 week MA$434.822% above
100 week MA$434.622% above
200 week MA$387.337% above

MSI has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$161.5$168.5+4.3%
2021$168.5$262.9+56%
2022$262.9$256.6-2.4%
2023$256.6$313.1+22%
2024$313.1$467.3+49%
2025$467.3$377.0-19%
2026 YTD$377.0$530.4+41%

MSI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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