MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over YMM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
YMM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
YMM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
YMM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
YMM PE Valuation
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
YMM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YMM, with profitability holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
YMM has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus YMM up 60%.
YMM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.07 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q2 2024 | $0.05 | +67% |
| Q1 2024 | $0.05 | +150% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.04 | +300% |
| Q3 2023 | $0.04 | +$0.06 |
YMM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.08 over the past year, up 60% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over YMM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over YMM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
YMM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $506M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $427.5M | +5.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $479.1M | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $486.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $405.2M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $476.4M | +32% |
| Q3 2024 | $454.9M | +34% |
YMM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $506M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | -9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 45% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +16 points |
| Q3 2024 | 25% | +14 points |
YMM's operating margin was 44% last quarter, up 8.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
YMM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $322.7M | +$322.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $234.4M | +$234.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
YMM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2022: $557M over the past year, against $0 the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
YMM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -3.2M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -26.7M shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
YMM has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
YMM hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
YMM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
YMM has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
YMM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.8 | Neutral |
YMM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
YMM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | YMM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over YMM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
YMM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.49 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.69 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.06 | 6.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.5 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.02 | 5.9% below |
YMM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.9% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over YMM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
YMM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.7 | $8.30 | -58% |
| 2022 | $8.30 | $8.14 | -1.9% |
| 2023 | $8.14 | $7.01 | -14% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $11.0 | +56% |
| 2025 | $11.0 | $11.2 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.2 | $8.49 | -24% |
YMM has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.