MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over TSEM overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd.
TSEM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TSEM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TSEM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over TSEM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSEM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $27.61 | -83% |
| Forward | 25x | $158 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $66.20 | -58% |
| Expensive | 42x | $106 | -33% |
| Current | 62x | $158 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSEM's PE is in its expensive range at 62x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
TSEM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSEM has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSEM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.34 | +151% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.53 | +45% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.15 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.93 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.72 | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.74 | -61% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.81 | -59% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.86 | -60% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.85 | -62% |
TSEM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.53 over the past year, against $4.92 in late 2023.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSEM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $460.1M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $413.6M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $440.2M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $395.7M | +6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $372.1M | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $358.2M | +9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $387.2M | +10% |
| Q3 2024 | $370.5M | +3.4% |
TSEM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 20% | +8.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +6.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.2% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | -86 points |
TSEM's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 8.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
TSEM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$9.6M | -181% |
| Q1 2026 | $353.6M | +$371.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$75.3M | -2680% |
| Q3 2025 | $35.9M | +$38.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $11.9M | +2436% |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.5M | -245% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9M | +$25.6M |
| Q3 2024 | -$2.9M | -101% |
TSEM has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
TSEM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +85K shares |
| 1 year | +1% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +2.9% | +3.2M shares |
| 5 years | +4.4% | +4.8M shares |
| Available history | +6.3% | +6.8M shares |
TSEM has 114M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TSEM hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TSEM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
TSEM has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
TSEM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.7 | Oversold |
TSEM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on valuation relative to its sector.
TSEM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TSEM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 62x | 28x | 124% above |
| PE % | 87 | 35 | 52 pts above |
TSEM is trading at 62x earnings, a 124% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over TSEM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TSEM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $190.6 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $213.0 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $122.3 | 29% above |
| 200 week MA | $79.4 | 99% above |
TSEM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 99% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
TSEM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.3 | $25.4 | +4.7% |
| 2021 | $25.4 | $38.4 | +51% |
| 2022 | $38.4 | $43.9 | +14% |
| 2023 | $43.9 | $30.5 | -31% |
| 2024 | $30.5 | $52.1 | +71% |
| 2025 | $52.1 | $121.6 | +134% |
| 2026 YTD | $121.6 | $157.9 | +30% |
TSEM has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.