MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over SONO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SONO

Sonos, Inc.

63
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

SONO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SONO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SONO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over SONO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SONO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$15.38-15%
Current25x$18.11—
Fair34x$24.15+33%
Expensive148x$106+488%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SONO's PE is 25x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

SONO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SONO to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SONO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SONO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$23.82
Downside-24%$13.80

Calculated from the latest close: $18.11 on Nov 12.

SONO trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

SONO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46Q4 2026: $0.72
Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46Q4 2026: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.72+$1.23

SONO has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over SONO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SONO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375MQ4 2026: $344M
Q4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375MQ4 2026: $344M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$344.4M+20%
Q2 2026$375.3M+8.8%
Q1 2026$281.5M+8.4%
Q4 2025$545.7M-0.9%

SONO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $344M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

SONO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40MQ4 2026: --
Q4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40MQ4 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$40.3M+23%
Q1 2026-$70.2M-$4.9M
Q4 2025$157.3M+10%

SONO has the edge over MSFT in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over SONO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SONO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
Q4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+773K shares
1 year+0.5%+559K shares

SONO has 121M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SONO Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
Q3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-14.7xNet Cash

SONO has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

SONO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.6Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

SONO's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SONO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSONOSector medianRelative
PE25x28x9.7% below
PE %33352 pts below

SONO has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

SONO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.34.4% above
20 week MA$16.013% above
50 week MA$15.616% above
100 week MA$14.327% above
200 week MA$14.921% above

SONO has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over SONO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SONO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$24.4+63%
2021$24.4$29.9+22%
2022$29.9$17.0-43%
2023$17.0$17.1+0.8%
2024$17.1$15.0-12%
2025$15.0$18.1+20%
2026 YTD$18.1$18.1+0.2%

SONO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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