MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SAIL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
SAIL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SAIL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SAIL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
SAIL PE Valuation
SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SAIL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
SAIL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus SAIL down 133%.
SAIL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.38 | — |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.98 | -$0.57 |
| Q1 2022 | -$0.85 | -$0.65 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.67 | -$0.55 |
| Q3 2021 | -$0.61 | -$0.60 |
| Q2 2021 | -$0.41 | -1125% |
| Q1 2021 | -$0.20 | -$0.11 |
| Q4 2020 | -$0.12 | -$0.02 |
| Q3 2020 | -$0.01 | +$0.01 |
SAIL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2022.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SAIL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAIL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $308.8M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $280.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $294.6M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $281.9M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $264.4M | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $230.5M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $240.1M | +18% |
| Q2 2022 | $134.3M | +31% |
SAIL has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -19% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -28% | +52 points |
| Q1 2026 | -14% | -55 points |
| Q4 2025 | -15% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | -80% | -44 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +237 points |
| Q4 2024 | -10% | +9.5 points |
SAIL's operating margin was −19% last quarter, down 3.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
SAIL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $37.3M | +$136.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $62.1M | +425% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.5M | +$69.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $49M | +$105.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$99M | -$40.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M | +$66.7M |
| Q2 2022 | -$18.4M | -$4.8M |
SAIL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over SAIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SAIL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +12.4M shares |
| 3 years | +513% | +475M shares |
| 5 years | +539% | +479M shares |
| Available history | +559% | +482M shares |
SAIL has 568M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $275,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.8M |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SAIL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -41.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -7.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2021 | -45.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -26.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -17.3x | Net Cash |
SAIL has more cash than debt.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SAIL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.8 | Neutral |
SAIL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SAIL PE vs Technology Sector
SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
SAIL has stronger trend alignment. MSFT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus SAIL above 3 of 3.
SAIL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.4 | 0.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.6 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.8 | 23% above |
SAIL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 50-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over SAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SAIL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $24.6 | $21.2 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.2 | $20.6 | -2.7% |
SAIL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 2.7% so far in 2026.