MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over SAIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation
SAIC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SAIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
SAIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over SAIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SAIC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $114 | -25% |
| Forward | 14x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $157 | +3.7% |
| Current | 18x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $202 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAIC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
SAIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SAIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SAIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SAIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.73 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.56 | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.89 | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.70 | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.80 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.24 | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.11 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.17 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.96 | -37% |
SAIC earned $8.56 per share over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over SAIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over SAIC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | -4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | -5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +4.3% |
SAIC's revenue grew through 2020 and has held roughly level since: $1.9B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +0.5 points |
SAIC's operating margin was 8.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
SAIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $131M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $118M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $250M | +150% |
| Q4 2025 | $120M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $115M | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $92M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $134M | +38% |
SAIC has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
SAIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -8.5% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -11.1M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -15.6M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -15.5M shares |
SAIC has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98M |
| Q2 2026 | $188M |
| Q1 2026 | $98M |
| Q4 2025 | $95M |
| Q3 2025 | $110M |
| Q2 2025 | $142M |
| Q1 2025 | $133M |
| Q4 2024 | $121M |
SAIC spent $479M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.3% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over SAIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SAIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
SAIC's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SAIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 86.2 | Overbought |
SAIC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SAIC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SAIC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 28x | 37% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
SAIC has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
SAIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $140.1 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.7 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $111.9 | 35% above |
| 100 week MA | $109.9 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $115.1 | 31% above |
SAIC has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
SAIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $88.3 | $96.8 | +9.7% |
| 2021 | $96.8 | $82.4 | -15% |
| 2022 | $82.4 | $109.5 | +33% |
| 2023 | $109.5 | $124.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $124.3 | $111.1 | -11% |
| 2025 | $111.1 | $102.7 | -7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.7 | $151.2 | +47% |
SAIC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.