MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over PRCH overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

PRCH

Porch Group, Inc.

60
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

PRCH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PRCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

PRCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

PRCH PE Valuation

PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 64x next year's earnings.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

PRCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

PRCH has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRCH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$33.93
Downside-37%$13.52

Calculated from the latest close: $21.31 on Nov 12.

PRCH trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 36% for MSFT versus PRCH down 54%.

PRCH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-0.86Q3 2024: $-0.68Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.31Forward: $0.33
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-0.86Q3 2024: $-0.68Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.31Forward: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.33+7.9%
Q3 2025$0.31+$0.99
Q2 2025$0.53+$1.39
Q1 2025-$0.12+$1.00
Q4 2024-$0.33+$1.06
Q3 2024-$0.68+$1.06
Q2 2024-$0.86+$1.70
Q1 2024-$1.12+$0.80
Q4 2023-$1.39+$0.18

PRCH has returned to profit: it earned $0.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over PRCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRCH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $144M
Q4 2023: $115MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $144M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$143.9M+22%
Q2 2026$140.9M+18%
Q1 2026$121.1M+16%
Q4 2025$140.3M+40%
Q3 2025$118.1M+6.2%
Q2 2025$119.3M+7.6%
Q1 2025$104.7M-9.3%
Q4 2024$100.4M-12%

PRCH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $144M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

PRCH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$59.2M+45%
Q2 2026$40.9M+16%
Q1 2026$12.8M+$24.1M
Q4 2025$1.1M+$27.9M
Q3 2025$40.7M+234%
Q2 2025$35.4M+$61.4M
Q1 2025-$11.2M-233%
Q4 2024-$26.8M+$14.3M

PRCH has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PRCH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 126M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 98MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 121MQ3 2026: 126M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.6%+5.6M shares
1 year-4.1%-5.4M shares
3 years+32%+30.6M shares
5 years+33%+31.1M shares

PRCH has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over PRCH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRCH Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 6.3xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q2 2025: 6.3xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20256.3xHigh

PRCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

PRCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.1Overbought
Stochastic82.5Overbought

PRCH's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PRCH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPRCHSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

PRCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.515% above
20 week MA$16.827% above
50 week MA$12.176% above
100 week MA$11.291% above
200 week MA$6.59223% above

PRCH has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

PRCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$15.0+50%
2021$15.0$17.8+19%
2022$17.8$1.70-90%
2023$1.70$3.08+81%
2024$3.08$5.44+77%
2025$5.44$8.93+64%
2026 YTD$8.93$21.3+139%

PRCH has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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