MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over PAGS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
PAGS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PAGS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
PAGS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.8x | $7.82 | — |
| Cheap | 7.1x | $9.52 | +22% |
| Fair | 12x | $16.50 | +111% |
| Expensive | 51x | $67.68 | +766% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PAGS has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
PAGS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
PAGS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.31 | +6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.31 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.23 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.19 | +31% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.12 | +30% |
PAGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.34 over the past year, up 5.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PAGS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $873.8M | -0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $840.1M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $949.7M | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $880.1M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $875.7M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $843.5M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $895.7M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $842.3M | +19% |
PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 36% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 36% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 32% | -2.1 points |
PAGS's operating margin was 36% last quarter, down 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
PAGS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $139.8M | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.4M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | -$579.5M | -$433.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $299M | +$527.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $305.5M | +$1.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $101.6M | -70% |
| Q4 2024 | -$146.2M | -314% |
| Q3 2024 | -$228.1M | -387% |
PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
PAGS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.4M shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -21.2M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -46M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -50.9M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -51.1M shares |
PAGS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $49.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $107.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $83.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $40.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $63.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $76.6M |
PAGS spent $183M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 31% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PAGS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.1x | High |
PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
PAGS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.0 | Oversold |
PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PAGS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PAGS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.8x | 28x | 79% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
PAGS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PAGS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.38 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $9.29 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.69 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.11 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.76 | 20% below |
PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over PAGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PAGS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.5 | $53.8 | +56% |
| 2021 | $53.8 | $26.7 | -50% |
| 2022 | $26.7 | $8.62 | -68% |
| 2023 | $8.62 | $12.5 | +45% |
| 2024 | $12.5 | $6.38 | -49% |
| 2025 | $6.38 | $9.77 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.77 | $7.82 | -20% |
PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.