MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over ON overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
ON offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ON Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over ON in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ON PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $26.87 | -64% |
| Forward | 17x | $73.73 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $47.27 | -36% |
| Current | 44x | $73.73 | — |
| Expensive | 68x | $113 | +53% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ON's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
ON Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ON has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ON on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ON Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.43 | +165% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.67 | +117% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.51 | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.36 | -5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.29 | -92% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.07 | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.44 | -71% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.63 | -26% |
ON's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.67 over the past year, against $4.96 in late 2023.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over ON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over ON on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ON Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | -15% |
ON's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.7B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +36 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -8.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -9.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -40% | -68 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | -6.6 points |
ON's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 4.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
ON Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $488.6M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $425.4M | +301% |
| Q1 2026 | $217.2M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $485.4M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $372.4M | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.1M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $454.7M | +65% |
| Q4 2024 | $434.8M | +97% |
ON has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
ON Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -7.1M shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -10.7M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -53.4M shares |
| 5 years | -9.8% | -43.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -18.7M shares |
ON has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $344.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $345.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $450.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $325M |
| Q2 2025 | $302.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $300.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $204.1M |
ON spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 2.6% from the year before.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over ON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ON Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
ON's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
ON Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.8 | Neutral |
ON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over ON on valuation relative to its sector.
ON PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ON | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44x | 28x | 58% above |
| PE % | 67 | 35 | 32 pts above |
ON is trading at 44x earnings, a 58% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over ON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ON Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $74.1 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $78.3 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $78.2 | 5.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $63.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $71.0 | 3.8% above |
ON has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 3.8% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
ON Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.5 | $32.0 | +31% |
| 2021 | $32.0 | $66.8 | +109% |
| 2022 | $66.8 | $62.4 | -6.5% |
| 2023 | $62.4 | $83.5 | +34% |
| 2024 | $83.5 | $66.0 | -21% |
| 2025 | $66.0 | $54.9 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.9 | $73.7 | +34% |
ON has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.