ON

ON Semiconductor Corporation

71
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ON's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 44x earnings, above its usual 29x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$26.87-64%
Forward17x$73.73—
Fair28x$47.27-36%
Current44x$73.73—
Expensive68x$113+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ON's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ON, with profitability improving.

ON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$123.14
Downside-18%$60.14

Calculated from the latest close: $73.73 on Nov 12.

ON's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +67% against −18%.

ON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+165%
Q3 2026$1.67+117%
Q2 2026$1.51+41%
Q1 2026$1.36-5.6%
Q4 2025$0.29-92%
Q3 2025$0.77-81%
Q2 2025$1.07-76%
Q1 2025$1.44-71%
Q4 2024$3.63-26%

ON's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.67 over the past year, against $4.96 in late 2023.

ON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+11%
Q2 2026$1.6B+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+4.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B-11%
Q3 2025$1.6B-12%
Q2 2025$1.5B-15%
Q1 2025$1.4B-22%
Q4 2024$1.7B-15%

ON's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.7B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$488.6M+31%
Q2 2026$425.4M+301%
Q1 2026$217.2M-52%
Q4 2025$485.4M+12%
Q3 2025$372.4M+27%
Q2 2025$106.1M-49%
Q1 2025$454.7M+65%
Q4 2024$434.8M+97%

ON generated $1.6B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

ON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-7.1M shares
1 year-2.6%-10.7M shares
3 years-12%-53.4M shares
5 years-9.8%-43.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-18.7M shares

ON has 397M diluted shares, down 2.6% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

ON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ON's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.6Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ON PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONSector medianRelative
PE44x28x58% above
PE %673532 pts above

ON is trading at 44x earnings, a 58% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.10.5% below
20 week MA$78.35.9% below
50 week MA$78.25.7% below
100 week MA$63.915% above
200 week MA$71.03.8% above

ON has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 3.8% above its 200-week average.

ON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.5$32.0+31%
2021$32.0$66.8+109%
2022$66.8$62.4-6.5%
2023$62.4$83.5+34%
2024$83.5$66.0-21%
2025$66.0$54.9-17%
2026 YTD$54.9$73.7+34%

ON is up 34% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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