MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MSI

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

59
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MSI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over MSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$385-27%
Fair35x$434-18%
Expensive39x$482-9.1%
Current43x$530—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSI's PE is in its expensive range at 43x.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$588.68
Downside-18%$436.43

Calculated from the latest close: $530.40 on Nov 12.

MSI trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.42-0.4%
Q2 2026$12.69+2.1%
Q1 2026$12.40+3.4%
Q4 2025$12.75+38%
Q3 2025$12.47+37%
Q2 2025$12.43+46%
Q1 2025$11.99+48%
Q4 2024$9.23-7%

MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+12%
Q3 2025$3B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+5.8%
Q4 2024$3B+5.7%

MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

MSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-20%
Q2 2026$414M+84%
Q1 2026$389M-18%
Q4 2025$1.1B+16%
Q3 2025$732M+4.3%
Q2 2025$225M+101%
Q1 2025$473M+41%
Q4 2024$984M-15%

MSI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4.3M shares
5 years-3.8%-6.7M shares
Available history-4.7%-8.2M shares

MSI has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over MSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic81.5Overbought

MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over MSI on valuation relative to its sector.

MSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSISector medianRelative
PE43x28x53% above
PE %863551 pts above

MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

MSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$478.711% above
20 week MA$461.815% above
50 week MA$434.822% above
100 week MA$434.622% above
200 week MA$387.337% above

MSI has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

MSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$161.5$168.5+4.3%
2021$168.5$262.9+56%
2022$262.9$256.6-2.4%
2023$256.6$313.1+22%
2024$313.1$467.3+49%
2025$467.3$377.0-19%
2026 YTD$377.0$530.4+41%

MSI has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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