MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SHFS

SHF Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SHFS yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SHFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

SHFS's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SHFS.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

SHFS PE Valuation

SHFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SHFS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHFS to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SHFS's risk to reward.

SHFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.02 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SHFS's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over SHFS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SHFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-98.40Q1 2024: $-74.40Q2 2024: $26.40Q3 2024: $33.60Q4 2024: $-209.16Q1 2025: $-222.36Q2 2025: $-231.12Q3 2025: $-232.80Q4 2025: $-9.84Q1 2026: $-11.40Q2 2026: $-11.76Q3 2026: $-13.43
Q4 2023: $-98.40Q1 2024: $-74.40Q2 2024: $26.40Q3 2024: $33.60Q4 2024: $-209.16Q1 2025: $-222.36Q2 2025: $-231.12Q3 2025: $-232.80Q4 2025: $-9.84Q1 2026: $-11.40Q2 2026: $-11.76Q3 2026: $-13.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.43+$219.37
Q2 2026-$11.76+$219.36
Q1 2026-$11.40+$210.96
Q4 2025-$9.84+$199.32
Q3 2025-$232.80-793%
Q2 2025-$231.12-975%
Q1 2025-$222.36-$147.96
Q4 2024-$209.16-$110.76

SHFS is still losing money, but far less than before: $13.43 per share over the past year, against $600.13 at its worst in late 2023.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over SHFS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2M+6.5%
Q2 2026$1.9M+4.8%
Q1 2026$2M+2.2%
Q4 2025$2.1M-44%
Q3 2025$1.8M-47%
Q2 2025$1.8M-54%
Q1 2025$1.9M-52%
Q4 2024$3.7M-18%

SHFS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, up 6.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SHFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$607,112Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$674,608Q3 2025: โˆ’$538,037Q4 2025: โˆ’$1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$1MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$607,112Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: โˆ’$3MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$674,608Q3 2025: โˆ’$538,037Q4 2025: โˆ’$1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$1MQ2 2026: โˆ’$2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2M-$674.8K
Q2 2026-$1.8M-$1.1M
Q1 2026-$1.1M+$62.1K
Q4 2025-$1.1M+$1.7M
Q4 2024-$2.8M-$2.2M
Q4 2023-$607.1K-$328.1K
Q2 2023-$378.7K-$309.6K
Q1 2023-$775.1K-$593.5K

SHFS's free cash flow was โˆ’$5M over the past year, against โˆ’$5M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SHFS.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over SHFS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SHFS Total Shares

Q1 2024: 234,450Q2 2024: 235,356Q3 2024: 235,626Q4 2024: 231,072Q1 2025: 232,212Q2 2025: 235,539Q3 2025: 259,242Q1 2026: 362,758Q2 2026: 577,335Q3 2026: 1M
Q1 2024: 234,450Q2 2024: 235,356Q3 2024: 235,626Q4 2024: 231,072Q1 2025: 232,212Q2 2025: 235,539Q3 2025: 259,242Q1 2026: 362,758Q2 2026: 577,335Q3 2026: 1M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+78%+451K shares
1 year+336%+792K shares
3 years+861%+921K shares

SHFS has 1M diluted shares, up 336% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SHFS Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 118.1x
Q2 2024: 118.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2024118.1xHigh

SHFS's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SHFS.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SHFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI25.4Oversold
Stochastic0.2Oversold

SHFS's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 0 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SHFS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSHFSSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

SHFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over SHFS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SHFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4996% below
20 week MA$1.5099% below
50 week MA$6.73100% below
100 week MA$29.3100% below
200 week MA$96.8100% below

SHFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over SHFS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$2,371.2$2,412.0+1.7%
2022$2,412.0$460.8-81%
2023$460.8$340.8-26%
2024$340.8$101.0-70%
2025$101.0$15.0-85%
2026 YTD$15.0$0.02-100%

SHFS has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 100% so far in 2026.

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