MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over RWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
RWAY
Runway Growth Finance Corp.
RWAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
RWAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over RWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RWAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.9x | $6.66 | — |
| Cheap | 6.4x | $1.02 | -85% |
| Fair | 11x | $1.76 | -74% |
| Expensive | 15x | $2.45 | -63% |
| Current | 42x | $6.66 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over RWAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RWAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RWAY, but weaker profitability.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over RWAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RWAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.35 | +745% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.16 | -89% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.12 | -94% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.08 | -105% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.93 | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.45 | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.88 | +151% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.64 | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.89 | +73% |
RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 64% for RWAY.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RWAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $3.2M | -64% |
| Q1 2022 | $5.7M | -49% |
| Q4 2021 | $20.9M | -6.4% |
| Q3 2021 | $13.1M | +7.2% |
| Q2 2021 | $9M | -39% |
| Q1 2021 | $11.3M | +267% |
RWAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3M last quarter, down 64% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | -25% | -100 points |
| Q1 2022 | 50% | -33 points |
| Q4 2021 | 92% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2021 | 78% | -11 points |
| Q2 2021 | 75% | -17 points |
| Q1 2021 | 83% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 93% | +36 points |
| Q3 2020 | 89% | N/A |
RWAY's operating margin was −25% last quarter, down 100 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2020.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RWAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150.2M | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | -$194.3M | -$194.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.9M | -92% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.6M | +49% |
| Q3 2025 | $92.4M | +257% |
| Q2 2025 | -$297K | +$38.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $73.6M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9M | +$75.5M |
RWAY has the edge over MS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over RWAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RWAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -188K shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +5.7M shares |
| 3 years | +3.4% | +1.4M shares |
| 5 years | +26% | +8.7M shares |
| Available history | +1.2% | +506K shares |
RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $4.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $6.7M |
| Q2 2024 | $12.8M |
| Q1 2024 | $10.6M |
| Q4 2022 | $1.5M |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RWAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2021 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2021 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2021 | 2.5x | Moderate |
RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
RWAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.1 | Neutral |
RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over RWAY on valuation relative to its sector.
RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RWAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42x | 13x | 220% above |
| PE % | 94 | 64 | 30 pts above |
RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over RWAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RWAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.55 | 1.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.33 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.06 | 5.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.74 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 36% below |
RWAY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over RWAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RWAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $12.5 | $13.4 | +7.3% |
| 2022 | $13.4 | $12.2 | -9.4% |
| 2023 | $12.2 | $12.6 | +3.6% |
| 2024 | $12.6 | $10.9 | -13% |
| 2025 | $10.9 | $8.93 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.93 | $6.66 | -25% |
RWAY has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.