MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over RVSB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RVSB

Riverview Bancorp, Inc.

54
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RVSB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

RVSB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

RVSB's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RVSB.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

RVSB PE Valuation

RVSB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

RVSB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVSB, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RVSB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RVSB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$7.55
Downside-14%$5.58

Calculated from the latest close: $6.47 on Nov 12.

RVSB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

RVSB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $0.22Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.19Forward: $0.38
Q3 2025: $0.22Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.19Forward: $0.38

RVSB and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over RVSB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RVSB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $15M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$15M+13%
Q1 2026$2.1M-83%
Q4 2025$14M+10%
Q3 2025$13.6M+6.6%
Q2 2025$13.3M+8.9%
Q1 2025$12.9M+43%
Q4 2024$12.7M+2.8%
Q3 2024$12.8M-3.6%

RVSB's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $15M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RVSB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $115,000Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$231,000Q2 2025: −$773,000Q3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$736,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $115,000Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$231,000Q2 2025: −$773,000Q3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$736,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.9M+$2.6M
Q1 2026-$3.6M-$3.4M
Q4 2025-$736K-139%
Q3 2025$16.4M+$17.8M
Q2 2025-$773K-115%
Q1 2025-$231K+$9.4M
Q4 2024$1.9M-80%
Q3 2024-$1.4M-1355%

RVSB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

RVSB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 21MQ4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 20M
Q3 2023: 21MQ4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-467K shares
1 year-2.9%-603K shares
3 years-3.6%-768K shares
5 years-8.9%-2M shares
Available history-10%-2.3M shares

RVSB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RVSB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.5xQ4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -7.7xQ4 2024: -6.4xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.0x
Q3 2023: -1.5xQ4 2023: -2.5xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -5.5xQ3 2024: -7.7xQ4 2024: -6.4xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-7.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2024-3.2xNet Cash

RVSB has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RVSB.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RVSB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.4Overbought
Stochastic92.7Overbought

RVSB's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RVSB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRVSBSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

RVSB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

RVSB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.076.6% above
20 week MA$5.6315% above
50 week MA$5.4818% above
100 week MA$5.4618% above
200 week MA$5.3521% above

RVSB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

RVSB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.16$5.27-35%
2021$5.27$7.66+45%
2022$7.66$7.58-1%
2023$7.58$6.40-16%
2024$6.40$5.78-9.7%
2025$5.78$5.03-13%
2026 YTD$5.03$6.47+29%

RVSB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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