MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over PRK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PRK

Park National Corporation

57
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PRK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

PRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PRK.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

PRK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x18x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x18x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$145-18%
Forward13x$176—
Fair15x$172-2.7%
Current16x$176—
Expensive17x$196+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRK has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

PRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRK, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$217.19
Downside-13%$154.09

Calculated from the latest close: $176.37 on Nov 12.

PRK trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over PRK on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PRK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.80Q1 2024: $7.90Q2 2024: $8.38Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $9.32Q1 2025: $9.75Q2 2025: $10.30Q3 2025: $10.87Q4 2025: $11.11Q1 2026: $10.90Q2 2026: $11.16Q3 2026: $11.37Forward: $13.16
Q4 2023: $7.80Q1 2024: $7.90Q2 2024: $8.38Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $9.32Q1 2025: $9.75Q2 2025: $10.30Q3 2025: $10.87Q4 2025: $11.11Q1 2026: $10.90Q2 2026: $11.16Q3 2026: $11.37Forward: $13.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.16+16%
Q3 2026$11.37+4.6%
Q2 2026$11.16+8.3%
Q1 2026$10.90+12%
Q4 2025$11.11+19%
Q3 2025$10.87+29%
Q2 2025$10.30+23%
Q1 2025$9.75+23%
Q4 2024$9.32+19%

PRK's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.37 over the past year, up 4.6% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over PRK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PRK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $130MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $160MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $177M
Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $130MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $142MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $160MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $177M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$177.4M+25%
Q2 2026$178.4M+26%
Q1 2026$159.5M+23%
Q4 2025$144.3M+7.3%
Q3 2025$141.6M+2.9%
Q2 2025$141.2M+11%
Q1 2025$130.1M+6.8%
Q4 2024$134.5M+22%

PRK's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $177M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PRK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.4M+14%
Q2 2026$50.5M+4.4%
Q1 2026$26.6M-28%
Q4 2025$55.7M+18%
Q3 2025$51.1M+21%
Q2 2025$48.4M-0.8%
Q1 2025$36.8M+17%
Q4 2024$47.1M-9.2%

PRK has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over PRK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PRK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1.1K shares
1 year+12%+2M shares
3 years+12%+2M shares
5 years+11%+1.8M shares
Available history+11%+1.8M shares

PRK has 18M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PRK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20242.1xModerate

PRK has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic13.6Oversold

PRK's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over PRK on valuation relative to its sector.

PRK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPRKSector medianRelative
PE16x13x19% above
PE %56637 pts below

PRK is trading at 16x earnings, a 19% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

PRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.01.5% below
20 week MA$188.36.3% below
50 week MA$175.50.5% above
100 week MA$169.04.4% above
200 week MA$150.417% above

PRK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 17% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

PRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$102.8$103.2+0.4%
2021$103.2$138.2+34%
2022$138.2$142.6+3.2%
2023$142.6$132.9-6.8%
2024$132.9$174.1+31%
2025$174.1$157.5-9.5%
2026 YTD$157.5$176.4+12%

PRK has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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