MRNA

Moderna, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MRNA yet.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 31%, but earnings per share fell 8.5%. At 23x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

MRNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

MRNA's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MRNA PE Valuation

MRNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MRNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MRNA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $231.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MRNA and UNH's risk to reward.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MRNA and UNH's risk to reward.

MRNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-12.33Q1 2024: $-15.59Q2 2024: $-15.30Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-9.28Q1 2025: $-8.73Q2 2025: $-7.53Q3 2025: $-8.07Q4 2025: $-7.26Q1 2026: $-8.14Q2 2026: $-7.98Q3 2026: $-7.09
Q4 2023: $-12.33Q1 2024: $-15.59Q2 2024: $-15.30Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-9.28Q1 2025: $-8.73Q2 2025: $-7.53Q3 2025: $-8.07Q4 2025: $-7.26Q1 2026: $-8.14Q2 2026: $-7.98Q3 2026: $-7.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.09+$0.98
Q2 2026-$7.98-$0.45
Q1 2026-$8.14+$0.59
Q4 2025-$7.26+$2.02
Q3 2025-$8.07-$2.33
Q2 2025-$7.53+$7.77
Q1 2025-$8.73+$6.86
Q4 2024-$9.28+$3.05

MRNA is still losing money, but far less than before: $7.09 per share over the past year, against $15.59 at its worst in early 2024.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over MRNA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MRNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $167MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $966MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $167MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $966MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+29%
Q2 2026$145M+2.1%
Q1 2026$389M+260%
Q4 2025$678M-30%
Q3 2025$1B-45%
Q2 2025$142M-41%
Q1 2025$108M-35%
Q4 2024$966M-66%

MRNA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $1.3B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over MRNA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: −$1.2BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: −$922MQ3 2025: −$880MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: −$692MQ2 2026: −$563MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: −$1.2BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: −$922MQ3 2025: −$880MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: −$692MQ2 2026: −$563MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$726M
Q2 2026-$563M+$359M
Q1 2026-$692M+$462M
Q4 2025$891M+194%
Q3 2025-$880M+$837M
Q2 2025-$922M+$534M
Q1 2025-$1.2B+$31M
Q4 2024$303M-25%

MRNA has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$2B over the past year, against −$2.7B the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over MRNA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MRNA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 382MQ1 2024: 382MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 399MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 386MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 389MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 398MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 382MQ1 2024: 382MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 399MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 386MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 389MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 398MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8%+32M shares
1 year+10%+40M shares
3 years+13%+49M shares
5 years-0.9%-4M shares
Available history+30%+99.2M shares

MRNA has 430M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over MRNA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRNA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2023-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.7xNet Cash

MRNA has more cash than debt.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MRNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.5Overbought
Stochastic85.1Overbought

MRNA's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

MRNA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMRNASector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MRNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MRNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$217.46.4% above
20 week MA$145.459% above
50 week MA$86.0169% above
100 week MA$57.8300% above
200 week MA$82.4181% above

MRNA has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

MRNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.5$123.4+532%
2021$123.4$250.0+103%
2022$250.0$199.1-20%
2023$199.1$99.5-50%
2024$99.5$40.1-60%
2025$40.1$31.2-22%
2026 YTD$31.2$231.4+642%

MRNA has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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