MRNA

Moderna, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MRNA yet.

MRNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

MRNA's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MRNA PE Valuation

MRNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MRNA's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $231.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to assess MRNA's risk to reward.

MRNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-12.33Q1 2024: $-15.59Q2 2024: $-15.30Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-9.28Q1 2025: $-8.73Q2 2025: $-7.53Q3 2025: $-8.07Q4 2025: $-7.26Q1 2026: $-8.14Q2 2026: $-7.98Q3 2026: $-7.09
Q4 2023: $-12.33Q1 2024: $-15.59Q2 2024: $-15.30Q3 2024: $-5.74Q4 2024: $-9.28Q1 2025: $-8.73Q2 2025: $-7.53Q3 2025: $-8.07Q4 2025: $-7.26Q1 2026: $-8.14Q2 2026: $-7.98Q3 2026: $-7.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.09+$0.98
Q2 2026-$7.98-$0.45
Q1 2026-$8.14+$0.59
Q4 2025-$7.26+$2.02
Q3 2025-$8.07-$2.33
Q2 2025-$7.53+$7.77
Q1 2025-$8.73+$6.86
Q4 2024-$9.28+$3.05

MRNA is still losing money, but far less than before: $7.09 per share over the past year, against $15.59 at its worst in early 2024.

MRNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $167MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $966MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $167MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $966MQ1 2025: $108MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $389MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+29%
Q2 2026$145M+2.1%
Q1 2026$389M+260%
Q4 2025$678M-30%
Q3 2025$1B-45%
Q2 2025$142M-41%
Q1 2025$108M-35%
Q4 2024$966M-66%

MRNA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $1.3B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: −$1.2BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: −$922MQ3 2025: −$880MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: −$692MQ2 2026: −$563MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: $402MQ1 2024: −$1.2BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: −$922MQ3 2025: −$880MQ4 2025: $891MQ1 2026: −$692MQ2 2026: −$563MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$726M
Q2 2026-$563M+$359M
Q1 2026-$692M+$462M
Q4 2025$891M+194%
Q3 2025-$880M+$837M
Q2 2025-$922M+$534M
Q1 2025-$1.2B+$31M
Q4 2024$303M-25%

MRNA has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$2B over the past year, against −$2.7B the year before.

MRNA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 382MQ1 2024: 382MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 399MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 386MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 389MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 398MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 382MQ1 2024: 382MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 399MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 386MQ2 2025: 388MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 389MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 398MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8%+32M shares
1 year+10%+40M shares
3 years+13%+49M shares
5 years-0.9%-4M shares
Available history+30%+99.2M shares

MRNA has 430M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MRNA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2023-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.7xNet Cash

MRNA has more cash than debt.

MRNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.5Overbought
Stochastic85.1Overbought

MRNA's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

MRNA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMRNASector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MRNA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$217.46.4% above
20 week MA$145.459% above
50 week MA$86.0169% above
100 week MA$57.8300% above
200 week MA$82.4181% above

MRNA has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 181% above its 200-week average.

MRNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.5$123.4+532%
2021$123.4$250.0+103%
2022$250.0$199.1-20%
2023$199.1$99.5-50%
2024$99.5$40.1-60%
2025$40.1$31.2-22%
2026 YTD$31.2$231.4+642%

MRNA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 642% so far in 2026.

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