MOV

Movado Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MOV has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MOV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MOV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$13.34-58%
Fair12x$20.84-35%
Forward15x$31.95—
Current18x$31.95—
Expensive21x$37.20+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOV has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MOV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

MOV has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MOV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$46.55
Downside-11%$28.30

Calculated from the latest close: $31.95 on Nov 12.

MOV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MOV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MOV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.59Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.81Forward: $2.17
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.59Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.81Forward: $2.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.17+20%
Q3 2026$1.81+135%
Q2 2026$1.41+76%
Q1 2026$1.17+34%
Q4 2025$0.97-6.7%
Q3 2025$0.77-52%
Q2 2025$0.80-55%
Q1 2025$0.87-58%
Q4 2024$1.04-59%

MOV has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MOV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $181MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $181MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$169.8M+4.9%
Q2 2026$142.4M+8.1%
Q1 2026$191.6M+5.6%
Q4 2025$186.1M+1.9%
Q3 2025$161.8M+1.6%
Q2 2025$131.8M-3.6%
Q1 2025$181.5M+1%
Q4 2024$182.7M-2.6%

MOV has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MOV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6M+$3.5M
Q2 2026$5.8M+$14.5M
Q1 2026$55.7M+48%
Q4 2025$11.6M+$18.8M
Q3 2025-$5.1M+$15M
Q2 2025-$8.7M+$11M
Q1 2025$37.5M-45%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-$3.3M

MOV has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MOV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+259K shares
1 year+2.3%+514K shares
3 years+2.1%+469K shares
5 years-2.8%-654K shares
Available history-0.7%-165K shares

MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over MOV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MOV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.1xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.1xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.1xNet Cash

MOV has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

MOV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMOVSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.1% below
PE %724725 pts above

MOV has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MOV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.20.9% below
20 week MA$34.57.4% below
50 week MA$29.87.1% above
100 week MA$23.735% above
200 week MA$25.127% above

MOV has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 27% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over MOV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$40.5+133%
2022$40.5$30.7-24%
2023$30.7$30.2-1.8%
2024$30.2$19.9-34%
2025$19.9$20.9+5.1%
2026 YTD$20.9$32.0+53%

MOV has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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