MOV

Movado Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MOV's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 18x earnings, above its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MOV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MOV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$13.34-58%
Fair12x$20.84-35%
Forward15x$31.95—
Current18x$31.95—
Expensive21x$37.20+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

MOV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOV, with profitability improving.

MOV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$46.55
Downside-11%$28.30

Calculated from the latest close: $31.95 on Nov 12.

MOV's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +46% against −11%.

MOV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.59Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.81Forward: $2.17
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $1.59Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $0.87Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.17Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.81Forward: $2.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.17+20%
Q3 2026$1.81+135%
Q2 2026$1.41+76%
Q1 2026$1.17+34%
Q4 2025$0.97-6.7%
Q3 2025$0.77-52%
Q2 2025$0.80-55%
Q1 2025$0.87-58%
Q4 2024$1.04-59%

MOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.81 over the past year, against $4.49 in mid-2022.

MOV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $181MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $181MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$169.8M+4.9%
Q2 2026$142.4M+8.1%
Q1 2026$191.6M+5.6%
Q4 2025$186.1M+1.9%
Q3 2025$161.8M+1.6%
Q2 2025$131.8M-3.6%
Q1 2025$181.5M+1%
Q4 2024$182.7M-2.6%

MOV's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MOV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6M+$3.5M
Q2 2026$5.8M+$14.5M
Q1 2026$55.7M+48%
Q4 2025$11.6M+$18.8M
Q3 2025-$5.1M+$15M
Q2 2025-$8.7M+$11M
Q1 2025$37.5M-45%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-$3.3M

MOV usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$2M, but it generated $71M over the past year.

MOV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+259K shares
1 year+2.3%+514K shares
3 years+2.1%+469K shares
5 years-2.8%-654K shares
Available history-0.7%-165K shares

MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

MOV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.1xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.1xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2024: -4.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: -5.3xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.9xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.1xNet Cash

MOV has more cash than debt.

MOV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMOVSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.1% below
PE %724725 pts above

MOV is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MOV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.20.9% below
20 week MA$34.57.4% below
50 week MA$29.87.1% above
100 week MA$23.735% above
200 week MA$25.127% above

MOV has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 27% above its 200-week average.

MOV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$40.5+133%
2022$40.5$30.7-24%
2023$30.7$30.2-1.8%
2024$30.2$19.9-34%
2025$19.9$20.9+5.1%
2026 YTD$20.9$32.0+53%

MOV is up 53% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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