MOV
Movado Group, Inc.
MOV has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
MOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $13.34 | -58% |
| Fair | 12x | $20.84 | -35% |
| Forward | 15x | $31.95 | — |
| Current | 18x | $31.95 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $37.20 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over MOV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MOV has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.17 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +135% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.41 | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.17 | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.97 | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | -52% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.80 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.87 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.04 | -59% |
MOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.81 over the past year, against $4.49 in mid-2022.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
MOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.8M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.4M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.6M | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $186.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $161.8M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.8M | -3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $181.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $182.7M | -2.6% |
MOV has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +4.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6% | -7.4 points |
MOV has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.6M | +$3.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.8M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $55.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.6M | +$18.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.1M | +$15M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.7M | +$11M |
| Q1 2025 | $37.5M | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | -$3.3M |
MOV has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
MOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +259K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +514K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +469K shares |
| 5 years | -2.8% | -654K shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -165K shares |
MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.1M |
MOV spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over MOV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MOV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
MOV has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.1% below |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
MOV has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.2 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.5 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.8 | 7.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.1 | 27% above |
MOV has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
MOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $17.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $40.5 | +133% |
| 2022 | $40.5 | $30.7 | -24% |
| 2023 | $30.7 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $30.2 | $19.9 | -34% |
| 2025 | $19.9 | $20.9 | +5.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $32.0 | +53% |
MOV has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.