MOMO

Hello Group Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MOMO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over MOMO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MOMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

MOMO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MOMO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.3x$4.40—
Cheap5.9x$6.01+37%
Fair8x$8.21+87%
Expensive10x$10.41+137%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOMO's PE is 4.3x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over MOMO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MOMO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MOMO to show an outlook.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

MOMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$5.17
Downside-15%$3.74

Calculated from the latest close: $4.40 on Nov 12.

MOMO trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOMO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MOMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.02+44%
Q1 2026$0.67-42%
Q4 2025$0.71-16%
Q3 2025$0.65-38%
Q2 2025$0.71-34%
Q1 2025$1.16-4.9%
Q4 2024$0.85-44%
Q3 2024$1.04-29%

MOMO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.02 over the past year, against $2.19 in early 2020.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over MOMO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$373.5M-5%
Q1 2026$358.1M-5.3%
Q4 2025$386.5M-2.3%
Q3 2025$397.7M-0.9%
Q2 2025$393.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$378.3M-1.5%
Q4 2024$395.7M-12%
Q3 2024$401.4M-12%

MOMO's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $373M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over MOMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93.7M+179%
Q1 2026$21.6M-32%
Q4 2025$34.4M-43%
Q3 2025$3.8M-92%
Q2 2025$33.6M-19%
Q1 2025$31.8M-40%
Q4 2024$60.3M+306%
Q3 2024$48.2M-6.7%

MOMO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $154M over the past year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over MOMO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-4.1M shares
1 year-6%-9.9M shares
3 years-23%-48M shares
5 years-30%-68M shares
Available history-31%-69.7M shares

MOMO has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.

MOMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

MOMO has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MOMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.5Oversold
Stochastic5.9Oversold

MOMO's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

MOMO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMOMOSector medianRelative
PE4.3x16x74% below
PE %22624 pts below

MOMO has the edge over TMUS on valuation relative to its sector.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

MOMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.635% below
20 week MA$5.2616% below
50 week MA$5.8625% below
100 week MA$6.5633% below
200 week MA$7.0337% below

MOMO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over MOMO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$13.2-62%
2021$13.2$9.05-32%
2022$9.05$8.36-7.6%
2023$8.36$6.95-17%
2024$6.95$7.49+7.8%
2025$7.49$6.50-13%
2026 YTD$6.50$4.40-32%

MOMO has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over MOMO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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