MOMO

Hello Group Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MOMO's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 44%, but free cash flow fell 12%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

MOMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

MOMO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MOMO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.3x$4.40—
Cheap5.9x$6.01+37%
Fair8x$8.21+87%
Expensive10x$10.41+137%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOMO's PE is 4.3x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MOMO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MOMO to show an outlook.

MOMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$5.17
Downside-15%$3.74

Calculated from the latest close: $4.40 on Nov 12.

MOMO's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +17% against −15%.

MOMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.02+44%
Q1 2026$0.67-42%
Q4 2025$0.71-16%
Q3 2025$0.65-38%
Q2 2025$0.71-34%
Q1 2025$1.16-4.9%
Q4 2024$0.85-44%
Q3 2024$1.04-29%

MOMO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.02 over the past year, against $2.19 in early 2020.

MOMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$373.5M-5%
Q1 2026$358.1M-5.3%
Q4 2025$386.5M-2.3%
Q3 2025$397.7M-0.9%
Q2 2025$393.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$378.3M-1.5%
Q4 2024$395.7M-12%
Q3 2024$401.4M-12%

MOMO's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $373M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MOMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93.7M+179%
Q1 2026$21.6M-32%
Q4 2025$34.4M-43%
Q3 2025$3.8M-92%
Q2 2025$33.6M-19%
Q1 2025$31.8M-40%
Q4 2024$60.3M+306%
Q3 2024$48.2M-6.7%

MOMO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $154M over the past year.

MOMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-4.1M shares
1 year-6%-9.9M shares
3 years-23%-48M shares
5 years-30%-68M shares
Available history-31%-69.7M shares

MOMO has 157M diluted shares, down 6% from a year ago, with $126M in buybacks over the past year.

MOMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

MOMO has more cash than debt.

MOMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.5Oversold
Stochastic5.9Oversold

MOMO's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MOMO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMOMOSector medianRelative
PE4.3x16x74% below
PE %22624 pts below

MOMO is trading at 4.3x earnings, a 74% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

MOMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.635% below
20 week MA$5.2616% below
50 week MA$5.8625% below
100 week MA$6.5633% below
200 week MA$7.0337% below

MOMO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

MOMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$13.2-62%
2021$13.2$9.05-32%
2022$9.05$8.36-7.6%
2023$8.36$6.95-17%
2024$6.95$7.49+7.8%
2025$7.49$6.50-13%
2026 YTD$6.50$4.40-32%

MOMO has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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