MOMO
Hello Group Inc.
MOMO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over MOMO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MOMO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
MOMO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MOMO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 4.3x | $4.40 | — |
| Cheap | 5.9x | $6.01 | +37% |
| Fair | 8x | $8.21 | +87% |
| Expensive | 10x | $10.41 | +137% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOMO's PE is 4.3x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over MOMO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MOMO Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MOMO to show an outlook.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOMO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.02 | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.67 | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.71 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.65 | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.71 | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.16 | -4.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.85 | -44% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.04 | -29% |
MOMO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 44% for MOMO versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MOMO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $373.5M | -5% |
| Q1 2026 | $358.1M | -5.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $386.5M | -2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $397.7M | -0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $393.2M | -2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $378.3M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $395.7M | -12% |
| Q3 2024 | $401.4M | -12% |
MOMO's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $373M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9.1% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -2.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -6.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9% | -11 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | -5.1 points |
MOMO's operating margin was 9.1% last quarter, down 6.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over MOMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over MOMO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MOMO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $93.7M | +179% |
| Q1 2026 | $21.6M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $34.4M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.8M | -92% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.6M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.8M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $60.3M | +306% |
| Q3 2024 | $48.2M | -6.7% |
MOMO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $154M over the past year.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over MOMO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MOMO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.6% | -4.1M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -23% | -48M shares |
| 5 years | -30% | -68M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -69.7M shares |
MOMO has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $27.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $22.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $30.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $63.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $39.8M |
MOMO spent $126M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 15% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
MOMO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
MOMO has the edge over RDDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has more cash than debt.
MOMO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.9 | Oversold |
MOMO's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MOMO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MOMO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.3x | 16x | 74% below |
| PE % | 2 | 26 | 24 pts below |
MOMO has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
MOMO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.63 | 5% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.26 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.86 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.56 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.03 | 37% below |
RDDT has stronger trend alignment. MOMO is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
MOMO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.5 | $13.2 | -62% |
| 2021 | $13.2 | $9.05 | -32% |
| 2022 | $9.05 | $8.36 | -7.6% |
| 2023 | $8.36 | $6.95 | -17% |
| 2024 | $6.95 | $7.49 | +7.8% |
| 2025 | $7.49 | $6.50 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.50 | $4.40 | -32% |
MOMO has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.