META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TKO

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TKO has the edge over META overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

TKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2164x4327x6491x8654x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2164x4327x6491x8654x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$194—
Current52x$194—
Cheap65x$243+25%
Fair78x$290+49%
Expensive88x$325+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TKO has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TKO has the edge over META on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META trails TKO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$250.96
Downside-14%$166.21

Calculated from the latest close: $194.08 on Nov 12.

TKO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than META, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.

TKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.07Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.19Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $7.51
Q4 2023: $1.07Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.19Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $7.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.51+102%
Q3 2026$3.71+42%
Q2 2026$2.85+18%
Q1 2026$2.68+36%
Q4 2025$2.25+11150%
Q3 2025$2.61+$3.26
Q2 2025$2.42+$3.61
Q1 2025$1.97+$3.21
Q4 2024$0.02-98%

TKO has the edge over META on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $64.6B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

TKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $614MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $851MQ3 2024: $681MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $614MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $851MQ3 2024: $681MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+21%
Q2 2026$1.5B+18%
Q1 2026$1.6B+26%
Q4 2025$1B+62%
Q3 2025$1.1B+64%
Q2 2025$1.3B+54%
Q1 2025$1.3B+101%
Q4 2024$642.2M+4.6%

TKO has the edge over META on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

TKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $396MQ3 2025: $417MQ4 2025: $310MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $374MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $396MQ3 2025: $417MQ4 2025: $310MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $374MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$472.2M+13%
Q2 2026$373.9M-5.6%
Q1 2026$694.5M+327%
Q4 2025$309.9M+445%
Q3 2025$416.8M+76%
Q2 2025$396.2M+72%
Q1 2025$162.8M+174%
Q4 2024$56.8M-74%

TKO has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-1.7M shares
1 year-63%-125M shares
3 years-11%-9M shares
5 years-12%-10.1M shares

TKO has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META has the edge over TKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

TKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic56.1Neutral

TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META has the edge over TKO on valuation relative to its sector.

TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTKOSector medianRelative
PE52x16x217% above
PE %72417 pts below

TKO is trading at 52x earnings, a 217% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

TKO has stronger trend alignment. META is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus TKO above 3 of 4.

TKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$181.37% above
20 week MA$185.44.7% above
50 week MA$195.00.5% below
100 week MA$181.56.9% above

TKO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 6.9% above its 100-week average.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over TKO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$98.1$81.6-17%
2024$81.6$144.0+77%
2025$144.0$217.4+51%
2026 YTD$217.4$194.1-11%

TKO has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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