META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over MOMO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MOMO

Hello Group Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MOMO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MOMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

MOMO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

MOMO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.3x$4.40—
Cheap5.9x$6.01+37%
Fair8x$8.21+87%
Expensive10x$10.41+137%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOMO has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MOMO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MOMO to show an outlook.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOMO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$5.17
Downside-15%$3.74

Calculated from the latest close: $4.40 on Nov 12.

MOMO trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over MOMO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
Q3 2023: $1.46Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.04Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.71Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.02+44%
Q1 2026$0.67-42%
Q4 2025$0.71-16%
Q3 2025$0.65-38%
Q2 2025$0.71-34%
Q1 2025$1.16-4.9%
Q4 2024$0.85-44%
Q3 2024$1.04-29%

MOMO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.02 over the past year, against $2.19 in early 2020.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over MOMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
Q3 2023: $457MQ4 2023: $451MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $404MQ3 2024: $401MQ4 2024: $396MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $398MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $373M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$373.5M-5%
Q1 2026$358.1M-5.3%
Q4 2025$386.5M-2.3%
Q3 2025$397.7M-0.9%
Q2 2025$393.2M-2.6%
Q1 2025$378.3M-1.5%
Q4 2024$395.7M-12%
Q3 2024$401.4M-12%

MOMO's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $373M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META has the edge over MOMO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $52MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$93.7M+179%
Q1 2026$21.6M-32%
Q4 2025$34.4M-43%
Q3 2025$3.8M-92%
Q2 2025$33.6M-19%
Q1 2025$31.8M-40%
Q4 2024$60.3M+306%
Q3 2024$48.2M-6.7%

MOMO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $154M over the past year.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MOMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
Q3 2023: 199MQ4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 189MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 178MQ1 2025: 173MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 170MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 161MQ2 2026: 157M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-4.1M shares
1 year-6%-9.9M shares
3 years-23%-48M shares
5 years-30%-68M shares
Available history-31%-69.7M shares

MOMO has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MOMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

MOMO has the edge over META on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

MOMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.5Oversold
Stochastic5.9Oversold

MOMO's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

MOMO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMOMOSector medianRelative
PE4.3x16x74% below
PE %22624 pts below

MOMO has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has the edge over MOMO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.635% below
20 week MA$5.2616% below
50 week MA$5.8625% below
100 week MA$6.5633% below
200 week MA$7.0337% below

MOMO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over MOMO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MOMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$13.2-62%
2021$13.2$9.05-32%
2022$9.05$8.36-7.6%
2023$8.36$6.95-17%
2024$6.95$7.49+7.8%
2025$7.49$6.50-13%
2026 YTD$6.50$4.40-32%

MOMO has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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