MELI

MercadoLibre, Inc.

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MELI has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MELI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Stable

MELI's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MELI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$1,475—
Current40x$1,475—
Cheap50x$1,874+27%
Fair75x$2,798+90%
Expensive193x$7,183+387%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MELI has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MELI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MELI, but weaker profitability.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over MELI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MELI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$2,089.12
Downside-17%$1,229.90

Calculated from the latest close: $1,475.09 on Nov 12.

MELI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MELI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MELI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $19.54Q1 2024: $22.35Q2 2024: $27.67Q3 2024: $28.34Q4 2024: $37.69Q1 2025: $40.65Q2 2025: $40.48Q3 2025: $40.97Q4 2025: $39.40Q1 2026: $37.89Q2 2026: $36.77Q3 2026: $37.28Forward: $44.82
Q4 2023: $19.54Q1 2024: $22.35Q2 2024: $27.67Q3 2024: $28.34Q4 2024: $37.69Q1 2025: $40.65Q2 2025: $40.48Q3 2025: $40.97Q4 2025: $39.40Q1 2026: $37.89Q2 2026: $36.77Q3 2026: $37.28Forward: $44.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$44.82+20%
Q3 2026$37.28-9%
Q2 2026$36.77-9.2%
Q1 2026$37.89-6.8%
Q4 2025$39.40+4.5%
Q3 2025$40.97+45%
Q2 2025$40.48+46%
Q1 2025$40.65+82%
Q4 2024$37.69+93%

MELI has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MELI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.4BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.8BQ2 2026: $10.2BQ3 2026: $10.8B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.4BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.8BQ2 2026: $10.2BQ3 2026: $10.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.8B+45%
Q2 2026$10.2B+50%
Q1 2026$8.8B+49%
Q4 2025$8.8B+45%
Q3 2025$7.4B+39%
Q2 2025$6.8B+34%
Q1 2025$5.9B+37%
Q4 2024$6.1B+42%

MELI has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MELI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $759MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $759MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B-6%
Q2 2026$3.2B+22%
Q1 2026$1.8B+138%
Q4 2025$4.8B+83%
Q3 2025$2.6B+89%
Q2 2025$2.6B+55%
Q1 2025$759M-44%
Q4 2024$2.6B+50%

MELI has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MELI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-195 shares
1 year0%-178 shares
3 years+1%+488K shares
5 years+2.2%+1.1M shares
Available history+2%+987K shares

MELI has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MELI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

MELI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over MELI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MELI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.0Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

MELI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MELI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMELISector medianRelative
PE40x18x120% above
PE %04747 pts below

MELI has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MELI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,699.113% below
20 week MA$1,796.018% below
50 week MA$1,820.019% below
100 week MA$2,010.527% below
200 week MA$1,769.517% below

MELI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over MELI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MELI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$599.2$1,690.5+182%
2021$1,690.5$1,262.7-25%
2022$1,262.7$878.3-30%
2023$878.3$1,571.5+79%
2024$1,571.5$1,725.5+9.8%
2025$1,725.5$2,005.7+16%
2026 YTD$2,005.7$1,475.1-26%

MELI has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over MELI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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