MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
MELI's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 40x earnings, about half its usual 76x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MELI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MELI's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.
MELI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 33x | $1,475 | — |
| Current | 40x | $1,475 | — |
| Cheap | 50x | $1,874 | +27% |
| Fair | 75x | $2,798 | +90% |
| Expensive | 193x | $7,183 | +387% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MELI's PE is in its cheap range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.
MELI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MELI, but weaker profitability.
MELI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $45.26 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $37.28 | -9% |
| Q2 2026 | $36.77 | -9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.89 | -6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $39.40 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $40.97 | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $40.48 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.65 | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | $37.69 | +93% |
MELI earned $37.28 per share over the past year, down 9% from the year before.
MELI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.8B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.2B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.8B | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.8B | +45% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8B | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9B | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.1B | +42% |
MELI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $10.8B last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.3% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -5.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.9% | -5.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +7.9 points |
MELI's operating margin was 6.3% last quarter, down 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MELI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -6% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.2B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +138% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8B | +83% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +89% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +55% |
| Q1 2025 | $759M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +50% |
MELI generated $12.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
MELI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -195 shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -178 shares |
| 3 years | +1% | +488K shares |
| 5 years | +2.2% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +2% | +987K shares |
MELI has 51M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
MELI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
MELI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
MELI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
MELI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
MELI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MELI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 18x | 120% above |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
MELI is trading at 40x earnings, a 120% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MELI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,699.1 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $1,796.0 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,820.0 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $2,010.5 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $1,769.5 | 17% below |
MELI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.
MELI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $599.2 | $1,690.5 | +182% |
| 2021 | $1,690.5 | $1,262.7 | -25% |
| 2022 | $1,262.7 | $878.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $878.3 | $1,571.5 | +79% |
| 2024 | $1,571.5 | $1,725.5 | +9.8% |
| 2025 | $1,725.5 | $2,005.7 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $2,005.7 | $1,475.1 | -26% |
MELI has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 26% so far in 2026.