MED

Medifast, Inc.

47
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MED has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over MED overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MED's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MED PE Valuation

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MED's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over MED on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$17.46
Downside-26%$9.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.86 on Nov 12.

MED trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MED, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.68-18500%
Q2 2026-$2.32-803%
Q1 2026-$1.82-$1.18
Q4 2025-$1.70-995%
Q3 2025$0.02-97%
Q2 2025$0.33-88%
Q1 2025-$0.64-110%
Q4 2024$0.19-98%

MED has swung to a loss: it lost $3.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over MED on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$72M-19%
Q2 2026$76.4M-28%
Q1 2026$76M-34%
Q4 2025$75.1M-37%
Q3 2025$89.4M-36%
Q2 2025$105.6M-37%
Q1 2025$115.7M-34%
Q4 2024$119M-38%

MED's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $72M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over MED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$728K+$5.5M
Q1 2026-$836K-144%
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$603K
Q3 2025$10.8M+40%
Q2 2025-$4.8M-143%
Q1 2025$1.9M-65%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-176%

MED's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$4M over the past year.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over MED on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+46K shares
1 year+1.7%+190K shares
3 years+2.3%+248K shares
5 years-5.1%-604K shares
Available history-7.7%-936K shares

MED has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-2,976.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-12.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MED has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

MED's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMEDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.16% above
20 week MA$11.710% above
50 week MA$11.413% above
100 week MA$12.61.9% above
200 week MA$35.464% below

MED has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$196.7+82%
2021$196.7$204.2+3.8%
2022$204.2$117.1-43%
2023$117.1$67.2-43%
2024$67.2$17.6-74%
2025$17.6$11.0-37%
2026 YTD$11.0$12.9+16%

MED has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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