MED

Medifast, Inc.

47
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MED lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

MED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MED's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MED PE Valuation

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MED's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

MED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$17.46
Downside-26%$9.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.86 on Nov 12.

MED's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +36% against −26%.

MED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.68-18500%
Q2 2026-$2.32-803%
Q1 2026-$1.82-$1.18
Q4 2025-$1.70-995%
Q3 2025$0.02-97%
Q2 2025$0.33-88%
Q1 2025-$0.64-110%
Q4 2024$0.19-98%

MED has swung to a loss: it lost $3.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$72M-19%
Q2 2026$76.4M-28%
Q1 2026$76M-34%
Q4 2025$75.1M-37%
Q3 2025$89.4M-36%
Q2 2025$105.6M-37%
Q1 2025$115.7M-34%
Q4 2024$119M-38%

MED's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $72M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

MED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$728K+$5.5M
Q1 2026-$836K-144%
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$603K
Q3 2025$10.8M+40%
Q2 2025-$4.8M-143%
Q1 2025$1.9M-65%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-176%

MED's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$4M over the past year.

MED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+46K shares
1 year+1.7%+190K shares
3 years+2.3%+248K shares
5 years-5.1%-604K shares
Available history-7.7%-936K shares

MED has 11M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

MED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-2,976.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-12.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MED has more cash than debt.

MED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

MED's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMEDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.16% above
20 week MA$11.710% above
50 week MA$11.413% above
100 week MA$12.61.9% above
200 week MA$35.464% below

MED has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 64% below its 200-week average.

MED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$196.7+82%
2021$196.7$204.2+3.8%
2022$204.2$117.1-43%
2023$117.1$67.2-43%
2024$67.2$17.6-74%
2025$17.6$11.0-37%
2026 YTD$11.0$12.9+16%

MED has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 16% so far in 2026.

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