MED

Medifast, Inc.

47
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MED's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over MED overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

MED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MED's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MED PE Valuation

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

MED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

MED has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$17.46
Downside-26%$9.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.86 on Nov 12.

MED trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MED, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.68-18500%
Q2 2026-$2.32-803%
Q1 2026-$1.82-$1.18
Q4 2025-$1.70-995%
Q3 2025$0.02-97%
Q2 2025$0.33-88%
Q1 2025-$0.64-110%
Q4 2024$0.19-98%

MED has swung to a loss: it lost $3.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over MED on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$72M-19%
Q2 2026$76.4M-28%
Q1 2026$76M-34%
Q4 2025$75.1M-37%
Q3 2025$89.4M-36%
Q2 2025$105.6M-37%
Q1 2025$115.7M-34%
Q4 2024$119M-38%

MED's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $72M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over MED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$728K+$5.5M
Q1 2026-$836K-144%
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$603K
Q3 2025$10.8M+40%
Q2 2025-$4.8M-143%
Q1 2025$1.9M-65%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-176%

MED's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$4M over the past year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over MED on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+46K shares
1 year+1.7%+190K shares
3 years+2.3%+248K shares
5 years-5.1%-604K shares
Available history-7.7%-936K shares

MED has 11M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over MED on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-2,976.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-12.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MED has more cash than debt.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

MED's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

MED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMEDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.16% above
20 week MA$11.710% above
50 week MA$11.413% above
100 week MA$12.61.9% above
200 week MA$35.464% below

MED has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

MED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$196.7+82%
2021$196.7$204.2+3.8%
2022$204.2$117.1-43%
2023$117.1$67.2-43%
2024$67.2$17.6-74%
2025$17.6$11.0-37%
2026 YTD$11.0$12.9+16%

MED has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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