MEC

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.

49
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MEC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over MEC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

MEC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MEC PE Valuation

MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MEC to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$21.20
Downside-34%$9.29

Calculated from the latest close: $13.99 on Nov 12.

MEC trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MEC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $-0.69Forward: $0.56
Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $-0.69Forward: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.56—
Q3 2026-$0.69-219%
Q2 2026-$0.84-199%
Q1 2026-$0.80-174%
Q4 2025-$0.40-132%
Q3 2025$0.58-1.7%
Q2 2025$0.85+63%
Q1 2025$1.08+157%
Q4 2024$1.24+226%

MEC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over MEC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$170.4M+18%
Q2 2026$163M+23%
Q1 2026$144.8M+6.8%
Q4 2025$134.3M+11%
Q3 2025$144.3M+6.6%
Q2 2025$132.3M-19%
Q1 2025$135.6M-16%
Q4 2024$121.3M-18%

MEC's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over MEC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.4M-$2.2M
Q2 2026-$6.6M-153%
Q1 2026-$6.9M-229%
Q4 2025$10.2M-71%
Q3 2025-$1.1M-108%
Q2 2025$12.5M-35%
Q1 2025$5.4M-32%
Q4 2024$35.6M+79%

MEC's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $52M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over MEC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+3.1M shares
1 year+25%+5.1M shares
3 years+25%+5.2M shares
5 years+23%+4.9M shares
Available history+31%+6.1M shares

MEC has 26M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over MEC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20255.4xHigh
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low

MEC's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic10.3Oversold

MEC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MEC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMECSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.74.7% below
20 week MA$20.833% below
50 week MA$21.836% below
100 week MA$18.424% below
200 week MA$16.515% below

MEC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over MEC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.90$12.8+29%
2021$12.8$14.4+12%
2022$14.4$13.0-9.9%
2023$13.0$14.4+11%
2024$14.4$15.7+8.8%
2025$15.7$19.1+22%
2026 YTD$19.1$14.0-27%

MEC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over MEC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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