MEC

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.

49
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MEC lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

MEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

MEC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MEC PE Valuation

MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MEC to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$21.20
Downside-34%$9.29

Calculated from the latest close: $13.99 on Nov 12.

MEC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +52% against −34%.

MEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $-0.69Forward: $0.56
Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $0.85Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $-0.69Forward: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.56—
Q3 2026-$0.69-219%
Q2 2026-$0.84-199%
Q1 2026-$0.80-174%
Q4 2025-$0.40-132%
Q3 2025$0.58-1.7%
Q2 2025$0.85+63%
Q1 2025$1.08+157%
Q4 2024$1.24+226%

MEC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$170.4M+18%
Q2 2026$163M+23%
Q1 2026$144.8M+6.8%
Q4 2025$134.3M+11%
Q3 2025$144.3M+6.6%
Q2 2025$132.3M-19%
Q1 2025$135.6M-16%
Q4 2024$121.3M-18%

MEC's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

MEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.4M-$2.2M
Q2 2026-$6.6M-153%
Q1 2026-$6.9M-229%
Q4 2025$10.2M-71%
Q3 2025-$1.1M-108%
Q2 2025$12.5M-35%
Q1 2025$5.4M-32%
Q4 2024$35.6M+79%

MEC's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $52M the year before.

MEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+3.1M shares
1 year+25%+5.1M shares
3 years+25%+5.2M shares
5 years+23%+4.9M shares
Available history+31%+6.1M shares

MEC has 26M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

MEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20255.4xHigh
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low

MEC's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.

MEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic10.3Oversold

MEC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MEC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMECSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.74.7% below
20 week MA$20.833% below
50 week MA$21.836% below
100 week MA$18.424% below
200 week MA$16.515% below

MEC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.90$12.8+29%
2021$12.8$14.4+12%
2022$14.4$13.0-9.9%
2023$13.0$14.4+11%
2024$14.4$15.7+8.8%
2025$15.7$19.1+22%
2026 YTD$19.1$14.0-27%

MEC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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