MEC
Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.
MEC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over MEC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MEC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
MEC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MEC PE Valuation
MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MEC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MEC to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
MEC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.56 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.69 | -219% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.84 | -199% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.80 | -174% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.40 | -132% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.58 | -1.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.85 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.08 | +157% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.24 | +226% |
MEC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
MEC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $170.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $163M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $144.8M | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $144.3M | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $132.3M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $135.6M | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.3M | -18% |
MEC's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.3% | -6.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.1% | -23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0% | -4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1% | -4.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +15 points |
MEC has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over MEC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MEC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.4M | -$2.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.6M | -153% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.9M | -229% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.2M | -71% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.1M | -108% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.5M | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.4M | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.6M | +79% |
MEC's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $52M the year before.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has the edge over MEC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MEC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +3.1M shares |
| 1 year | +25% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +5.2M shares |
| 5 years | +23% | +4.9M shares |
| Available history | +31% | +6.1M shares |
MEC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $998,000 |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $1M |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MEC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
MEC's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MEC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.3 | Oversold |
MEC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MEC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MEC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
MEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MEC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.7 | 4.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $20.8 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $21.8 | 36% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.4 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.5 | 15% below |
MEC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
MEC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.90 | $12.8 | +29% |
| 2021 | $12.8 | $14.4 | +12% |
| 2022 | $14.4 | $13.0 | -9.9% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $14.4 | +11% |
| 2024 | $14.4 | $15.7 | +8.8% |
| 2025 | $15.7 | $19.1 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.1 | $14.0 | -27% |
MEC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over MEC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.