MDU

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

47
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MDU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over MDU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MDU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

MDU's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MDU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$10.38-47%
Fair15x$13.52-31%
Expensive19x$17.53-10%
Forward19x$19.55—
Current21x$19.55—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDU's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MDU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect MDU's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over MDU on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

MDU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$22.83
Downside-18%$16.02

Calculated from the latest close: $19.55 on Nov 12.

MDU trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $1.99Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.05Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $0.95Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.03
Q4 2023: $2.03Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $1.99Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $1.37Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.05Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $0.95Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.03+11%
Q3 2026$0.93+13%
Q2 2026$0.95-9.5%
Q1 2026$0.92-28%
Q4 2025$0.93-32%
Q3 2025$0.82-58%
Q2 2025$1.05-47%
Q1 2025$1.28-45%
Q4 2024$1.37-33%

MDU has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

MDU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $536MQ1 2025: $675MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $315MQ4 2025: $534MQ1 2026: $606MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $348M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $536MQ1 2025: $675MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $315MQ4 2025: $534MQ1 2026: $606MQ2 2026: $375MQ3 2026: $348M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$347.7M+10%
Q2 2026$375.3M+6.9%
Q1 2026$606M-10%
Q4 2025$534M-0.3%
Q3 2025$315M-70%
Q2 2025$351.2M-66%
Q1 2025$674.8M-44%
Q4 2024$535.5M-53%

MDU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $348M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over MDU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$61MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: −$122MQ4 2025: −$336MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$56M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$61MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: −$122MQ4 2025: −$336MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56.3M+$65.6M
Q2 2026$15M-59%
Q1 2026$56.8M-54%
Q4 2025-$336M-$274.7M
Q3 2025-$121.9M-$104.6M
Q2 2025$36.5M+90%
Q1 2025$124.4M+220%
Q4 2024-$61.3M-815%

MDU's free cash flow was −$320M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

MDU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 204MQ2 2024: 205MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 205MQ1 2025: 205MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 205MQ4 2025: 205MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 213M
Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 204MQ2 2024: 205MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 205MQ1 2025: 205MQ2 2025: 205MQ3 2025: 205MQ4 2025: 205MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 213M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1M shares
1 year+3.6%+7.4M shares
3 years+4.3%+8.8M shares
5 years+4.7%+9.5M shares
Available history+6.1%+12.2M shares

MDU has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MDU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.8xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

MDU's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MDU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

MDU's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MDU PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMDUSector medianRelative
PE21x24x13% below
PE %895831 pts above

MDU is trading at 21x earnings, a 13% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MDU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.02.7% above
20 week MA$19.70.9% below
50 week MA$20.44.3% below
100 week MA$19.03.1% above
200 week MA$15.823% above

MDU's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

MDU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.2$9.78-12%
2021$9.78$11.2+15%
2022$11.2$11.6+3.1%
2023$11.6$11.0-5.1%
2024$11.0$18.2+66%
2025$18.2$19.7+8.1%
2026 YTD$19.7$19.6-0.7%

MDU has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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