MDU
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
MDU's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 21x earnings, above its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MDU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
MDU's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
MDU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $10.38 | -47% |
| Fair | 15x | $13.52 | -31% |
| Expensive | 19x | $17.53 | -10% |
| Forward | 19x | $19.55 | — |
| Current | 21x | $19.55 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MDU's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
MDU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MDU's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
MDU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.02 | +9.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.95 | -9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.92 | -28% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.93 | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.82 | -58% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.05 | -47% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.28 | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.37 | -33% |
MDU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $2.33 in early 2024.
MDU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $347.7M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $375.3M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $606M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $534M | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $315M | -70% |
| Q2 2025 | $351.2M | -66% |
| Q1 2025 | $674.8M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $535.5M | -53% |
MDU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $348M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +4.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +5.3 points |
MDU's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MDU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$56.3M | +$65.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $15M | -59% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.8M | -54% |
| Q4 2025 | -$336M | -$274.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$121.9M | -$104.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $36.5M | +90% |
| Q1 2025 | $124.4M | +220% |
| Q4 2024 | -$61.3M | -815% |
MDU's free cash flow was −$320M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.
MDU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +7.4M shares |
| 3 years | +4.3% | +8.8M shares |
| 5 years | +4.7% | +9.5M shares |
| Available history | +6.1% | +12.2M shares |
MDU has 213M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $50,000 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.8M |
MDU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
MDU's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.
MDU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 39.8 | Neutral |
MDU's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).
MDU PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MDU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 24x | 13% below |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
MDU is trading at 21x earnings, a 13% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
MDU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.0 | 2.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.7 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.4 | 4.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.0 | 3.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.8 | 23% above |
MDU's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 200-week average.
MDU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.2 | $9.78 | -12% |
| 2021 | $9.78 | $11.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $11.2 | $11.6 | +3.1% |
| 2023 | $11.6 | $11.0 | -5.1% |
| 2024 | $11.0 | $18.2 | +66% |
| 2025 | $18.2 | $19.7 | +8.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.7 | $19.6 | -0.7% |
MDU has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 0.7% so far in 2026.