MDT

Medtronic plc

64
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MDT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over MDT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

MDT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$101—
Cheap24x$98.52-2.4%
Current25x$101—
Fair27x$111+9.9%
Expensive33x$135+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDT's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over MDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MDT, with profitability improving.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

MDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$115.35
Downside-13%$88.13

Calculated from the latest close: $100.99 on Nov 12.

MDT trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.62Q4 2025: $3.70Q1 2026: $3.58Q2 2026: $3.73Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $6.16
Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.62Q4 2025: $3.70Q1 2026: $3.58Q2 2026: $3.73Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $6.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.16+52%
Q3 2026$4.06+12%
Q2 2026$3.73+3.3%
Q1 2026$3.58+8.5%
Q4 2025$3.70+13%
Q3 2025$3.62+22%
Q2 2025$3.61+31%
Q1 2025$3.30+5.1%
Q4 2024$3.28+6.8%

MDT has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $8.1BQ2 2024: $8.6BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.3BQ2 2025: $8.9BQ3 2025: $8.6BQ4 2025: $9BQ1 2026: $9BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.8B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $8.1BQ2 2024: $8.6BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.3BQ2 2025: $8.9BQ3 2025: $8.6BQ4 2025: $9BQ1 2026: $9BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.8B+14%
Q2 2026$9.8B+9.9%
Q1 2026$9B+8.7%
Q4 2025$9B+6.6%
Q3 2025$8.6B+8.4%
Q2 2025$8.9B+3.9%
Q1 2025$8.3B+2.5%
Q4 2024$8.4B+5.2%

MDT's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $9.8B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over MDT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $584MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $584MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+121%
Q2 2026$2.1B+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.3B+9.7%
Q4 2025$457M-18%
Q3 2025$584M+25%
Q2 2025$2.1B-12%
Q1 2025$2.1B-1.5%
Q4 2024$554M+177%

MDT generated $6.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over MDT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares
3 years-3.7%-48.7M shares
5 years-5.3%-71.3M shares
Available history-4.9%-66.3M shares

MDT has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

MDT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

MDT's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over MDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.9Neutral
Stochastic81.3Overbought

MDT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

MDT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMDTSector medianRelative
PE25x26x3.8% below
PE %22297 pts below

MDT is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over MDT on valuation relative to its sector.

MDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$94.17.3% above
20 week MA$90.611% above
50 week MA$90.012% above
100 week MA$89.912% above
200 week MA$86.617% above

MDT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

MDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$113.4$114.0+0.6%
2021$114.0$102.9-9.8%
2022$102.9$77.5-25%
2023$77.5$82.4+6.3%
2024$82.4$80.7-2%
2025$80.7$96.5+20%
2026 YTD$96.5$101.0+4.6%

MDT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 4.6% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over MDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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