MDT

Medtronic plc

64
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MDT's fundamentals are strong: it turned 16% of its revenue into free cash flow and revenue grew 9.8%. At 25x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 27x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

MDT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$101—
Cheap24x$98.52-2.4%
Current25x$101—
Fair27x$111+9.9%
Expensive33x$135+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDT's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

MDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MDT, with profitability improving.

MDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$115.35
Downside-13%$88.13

Calculated from the latest close: $100.99 on Nov 12.

MDT's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +14% against −13%.

MDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.62Q4 2025: $3.70Q1 2026: $3.58Q2 2026: $3.73Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $6.16
Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.28Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.62Q4 2025: $3.70Q1 2026: $3.58Q2 2026: $3.73Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $6.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.16+52%
Q3 2026$4.06+12%
Q2 2026$3.73+3.3%
Q1 2026$3.58+8.5%
Q4 2025$3.70+13%
Q3 2025$3.62+22%
Q2 2025$3.61+31%
Q1 2025$3.30+5.1%
Q4 2024$3.28+6.8%

MDT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.06 over the past year, up 12% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

MDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $8.1BQ2 2024: $8.6BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.3BQ2 2025: $8.9BQ3 2025: $8.6BQ4 2025: $9BQ1 2026: $9BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.8B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $8.1BQ2 2024: $8.6BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $8.3BQ2 2025: $8.9BQ3 2025: $8.6BQ4 2025: $9BQ1 2026: $9BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.8B+14%
Q2 2026$9.8B+9.9%
Q1 2026$9B+8.7%
Q4 2025$9B+6.6%
Q3 2025$8.6B+8.4%
Q2 2025$8.9B+3.9%
Q1 2025$8.3B+2.5%
Q4 2024$8.4B+5.2%

MDT's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $9.8B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $584MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $200MQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $584MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+121%
Q2 2026$2.1B+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.3B+9.7%
Q4 2025$457M-18%
Q3 2025$584M+25%
Q2 2025$2.1B-12%
Q1 2025$2.1B-1.5%
Q4 2024$554M+177%

MDT generated $6.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

MDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-0.2%-2M shares
3 years-3.7%-48.7M shares
5 years-5.3%-71.3M shares
Available history-4.9%-66.3M shares

MDT has 1.3B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MDT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

MDT's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

MDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.9Neutral
Stochastic81.3Overbought

MDT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

MDT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMDTSector medianRelative
PE25x26x3.8% below
PE %22297 pts below

MDT is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$94.17.3% above
20 week MA$90.611% above
50 week MA$90.012% above
100 week MA$89.912% above
200 week MA$86.617% above

MDT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

MDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$113.4$114.0+0.6%
2021$114.0$102.9-9.8%
2022$102.9$77.5-25%
2023$77.5$82.4+6.3%
2024$82.4$80.7-2%
2025$80.7$96.5+20%
2026 YTD$96.5$101.0+4.6%

MDT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 4.6% so far in 2026.

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