MCHP

Microchip Technology Incorporated

76
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCHP has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over MCHP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MCHP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Stable

MCHP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MCHP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$62.08—
Cheap21x$28.42-54%
Fair40x$53.17-14%
Current47x$62.08—
Expensive104x$138+122%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCHP's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU has the edge over MCHP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MCHP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MCHP, with profitability improving.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

MCHP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$137.59
Downside-12%$54.54

Calculated from the latest close: $62.08 on Nov 12.

MCHP trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCHP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MCHP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.02+202%
Q3 2026$1.33+$1.78
Q2 2026$0.68+$1.02
Q1 2026$0.22+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.29-151%
Q3 2025-$0.45-131%
Q2 2025-$0.34-114%
Q1 2025-$0.01-100%
Q4 2024$0.57-87%

MCHP has returned to profit: it earned $1.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over MCHP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCHP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+42%
Q2 2026$1.5B+38%
Q1 2026$1.3B+35%
Q4 2025$1.2B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B-2%
Q2 2025$1.1B-13%
Q1 2025$970.5M-27%
Q4 2024$1B-42%

MCHP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $1.6B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over MCHP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCHP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$396.1M+668%
Q2 2026$497.6M+93%
Q1 2026$242.8M+27%
Q4 2025$318.9M+26%
Q3 2025$51.6M+126%
Q2 2025$257.7M-15%
Q1 2025$191.7M-51%
Q4 2024$253.4M-68%

MCHP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.5B over the past year, up 93% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over MCHP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCHP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+100K shares
1 year+1%+5.6M shares
3 years+0.3%+1.4M shares
5 years-2.7%-15.3M shares
Available history+6.6%+34M shares

MCHP has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

MCHP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

MCHP's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over MCHP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCHP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic28.2Neutral

MCHP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MCHP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMCHPSector medianRelative
PE47x28x68% above
PE %613526 pts above

MCHP is trading at 47x earnings, a 68% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over MCHP on valuation relative to its sector.

MCHP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.715% below
20 week MA$76.218% below
50 week MA$77.220% below
100 week MA$68.29% below
200 week MA$75.217% below

MCHP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over MCHP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MCHP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.7$68.4+30%
2021$68.4$86.9+27%
2022$86.9$69.9-20%
2023$69.9$90.2+29%
2024$90.2$58.3-35%
2025$58.3$64.9+11%
2026 YTD$64.9$62.1-4.4%

MCHP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.4% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over MCHP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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