MCHP

Microchip Technology Incorporated

76
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCHP's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 33% and its operating margin rose 20 points to 21%. At 47x earnings, it's trading above its usual 40x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

MCHP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Stable

MCHP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable.

MCHP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE123x245x368x491x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$62.08—
Cheap21x$28.42-54%
Fair40x$53.17-14%
Current47x$62.08—
Expensive104x$138+122%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCHP's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MCHP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MCHP, with profitability improving.

MCHP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$137.59
Downside-12%$54.54

Calculated from the latest close: $62.08 on Nov 12.

MCHP's one-year upside scenario is about ten times its downside: +122% against −12%.

MCHP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
Q4 2023: $4.29Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $2.51Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.68Q3 2026: $1.33Forward: $4.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.02+202%
Q3 2026$1.33+$1.78
Q2 2026$0.68+$1.02
Q1 2026$0.22+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.29-151%
Q3 2025-$0.45-131%
Q2 2025-$0.34-114%
Q1 2025-$0.01-100%
Q4 2024$0.57-87%

MCHP has returned to profit: it earned $1.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MCHP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $971MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+42%
Q2 2026$1.5B+38%
Q1 2026$1.3B+35%
Q4 2025$1.2B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B-2%
Q2 2025$1.1B-13%
Q1 2025$970.5M-27%
Q4 2024$1B-42%

MCHP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $1.6B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCHP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
Q4 2023: $794MQ1 2024: $390MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $253MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $498MQ3 2026: $396M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$396.1M+668%
Q2 2026$497.6M+93%
Q1 2026$242.8M+27%
Q4 2025$318.9M+26%
Q3 2025$51.6M+126%
Q2 2025$257.7M-15%
Q1 2025$191.7M-51%
Q4 2024$253.4M-68%

MCHP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.5B over the past year, up 93% from the year before.

MCHP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
Q4 2023: 547MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 543MQ3 2024: 542MQ4 2024: 537MQ1 2025: 537MQ2 2025: 539MQ3 2025: 545MQ4 2025: 546MQ1 2026: 545MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 551M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+100K shares
1 year+1%+5.6M shares
3 years+0.3%+1.4M shares
5 years-2.7%-15.3M shares
Available history+6.6%+34M shares

MCHP has 551M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

MCHP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

MCHP's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

MCHP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic28.2Neutral

MCHP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MCHP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMCHPSector medianRelative
PE47x28x68% above
PE %613526 pts above

MCHP is trading at 47x earnings, a 68% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MCHP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.715% below
20 week MA$76.218% below
50 week MA$77.220% below
100 week MA$68.29% below
200 week MA$75.217% below

MCHP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

MCHP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.7$68.4+30%
2021$68.4$86.9+27%
2022$86.9$69.9-20%
2023$69.9$90.2+29%
2024$90.2$58.3-35%
2025$58.3$64.9+11%
2026 YTD$64.9$62.1-4.4%

MCHP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.4% so far in 2026.

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