MCD
McDonald's Corporation
MCD has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MCD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MCD's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MCD PE Valuation
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MCD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect MCD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MCD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.34 | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.38 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2024 | $11.42 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2024 | $11.77 | +27% |
| Q4 2023 | $11.56 | +39% |
| Q3 2023 | $11.34 | +43% |
| Q2 2023 | $10.85 | +34% |
| Q1 2023 | $9.30 | -1.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $8.33 | -17% |
MCD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 0.4% for MCD versus TSLA down 39%.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
MCD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5B | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +9.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.1B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8B | +5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $6B | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4B | -0.3% |
MCD has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 45% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 47% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.2 points |
MCD has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MCD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +5.3% |
MCD has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
MCD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -7.9M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -18.4M shares |
MCD has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $519M |
| Q2 2026 | $856M |
| Q1 2026 | $396M |
| Q4 2025 | $573M |
| Q3 2025 | $501M |
| Q2 2025 | $505M |
| Q1 2025 | $477M |
| Q4 2024 | $503M |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
MCD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
MCD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over MCD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MCD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.5 | Neutral |
MCD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
MCD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MCD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MCD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.4 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $260.1 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $286.6 | 4.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $295.0 | 7.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $287.9 | 5% below |
MCD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 5% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over MCD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MCD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $198.2 | $211.4 | +6.7% |
| 2021 | $211.4 | $266.0 | +26% |
| 2022 | $266.0 | $267.6 | +0.6% |
| 2023 | $267.6 | $296.5 | +11% |
| 2024 | $296.5 | $293.6 | -1% |
| 2025 | $293.6 | $310.7 | +5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $310.7 | $273.6 | -12% |
MCD has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.